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Sunday preview below

Update:

Executive Power looks ready to win. We got on at $2.50 Ff this morning with 6 units so we will stick with that now he has shortened up. Won well after a bad start. + 9 units balance for week 61 units for an 11 unit profit for the week. That makes it 11 out of the first 14 weeks of the year a profit has been made.

 

Pukekohe

Good morning,

Some very nice horses going round today. One Good Confidence bet which I will update 2 minutes before the race. The weather is fine and the track a Dead 5 so could get an upgrade.

Bet of the day Race 8 5.Executive Power $2.50 FF Updated at 4.09 but we will have 6 units on at $2.50 FF now as he is likely to come down and he is normally a relaxed horse and the draw will give him options if the inside is off. 1st $1.80

Value bet of the day race 4 12.Silver Cloud $6.50 FF

Race 1

Confidence: 2/5

5.Lismore Diamond well bred and trailed strongly when winning easily after showing very good early speed to lead. Wide draw no help but over 800m it may not matter as much if she is caught 3 wide on the pace.. RP $3.40, $3.40 FF

Dangers:

6.Porshabelle looked good leading and bolting in in her trial. Drawn outside Lismore Diamond though.

Race 2

Confidence:2/5

6.Pierrocity last start went to the line like she would relish more ground. Nicely weighted in this race to be the one to beat. RP $2.70, $2.20 Ff

Dangers:

1.Azaboy is a strong horse who beat the smart Mongolian Marshal here two back. Nice run at debut over a middle distance last start.

Race 3

Confidence: 2/5

6.Icebomb looked good winning his trial coming from 4th. He looked around a bit without the blinkers on. He wore Visor Blinkers at his last official start so they should be staying on which will help him, otherwise they would have had to have notified they were coming off. RP $3.60, $3.50 Ff

Dangers:

1.Simply Optimistic is a nice horse and with a good run looks the main danger.

Race 4

Confidence: 1/5

12.Silver Cloud ran home well last start but got her head to the side so the one cup blinkers go on. She is capable of winning this if she does it all right. RP $4.50

Dangers:

3.Ambitious Winner let loose when ridden colder last start.Wide draw means the same tactics so can go back to back.

8.I See Red ran an improver’s race last start and drawn well.

11.Fullinbloom had it all go wrong fresh up and still ran 4th.  Nice horse.

Race 5

Confidence: 1/5

10.Out Of The Park ran home well behind Le Castille who won well on Saturday again. Drawn well. RP $5

Dangers:

4.Picture This  better finish last start.

3.Balega  looks right in this after a better second last start.

Race 6

Confidence: 1/5

5.Aero De Paris showed the ability to win a few races earlier on but went off. Freshened up could do it.

Dangers:

7.What A Diva good second last start and freshened up and set to fire again.

2.Poker Face ran on nicely fresh up. Fitter now and 1400m suits.

6.Spindle few favours last start and with right run can win.

Race 7

Confidence: 2/5

5.Hinerangi got a soft lead last start and was too powerful when unleashed in the straight. Maps to get her way in front again and if the inside is ok, should be very hard to beat as she has that will to win. RP $2.70, $2.70 Ff

Dangers:

11.Supera won well last start and is bred to go on with it.

3.Time Lord with a freshener after the derby could do it if they went hard enough.

Race 8

Confidence: 4/5

5.Executive Power two starts had the side winkers go on and he was run down by the very smart Sherrif and next up was beaten by the smart Not Usual Talent who won well next up. So the form is very strong around him. Drawn ideally to land near the pace and it is hard to see anything here beating him. RP $1.70, $2.50 FF

Race 9

Confidence: 1/5

1.Prince Jabeel good third beside Executive Power last start and drawn well. RP $4

Dangers:

7.Regal Dancer better run last start.

10.Honfleur has the blinkers coming off. Nice filly.

2.Mishka good second last start and fitter third up.

11.Mercy Hill  could do it with a good run.

 

 

 

About Neil Davis

Neil is New Zealand's leading form analyst with particular expertise in the area of horse racing sectional times. He has had a life time interest in racing. The Formpro website first started back in 2008 - 10 years ago!