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Thursday preview below

 

Tauranga

A fine day has dawned in Tauranga and the Dead 5 track may even get an upgrade. There are some nice races there and I’ve sorted a few out. Don’t forget, the Quaddie Syndicate closes Friday night here and we already have over $3,000.

Good luck,

Neil

Bet of the day Race 3 8.Icebomb $2.40 FF  1st $1.90 

Value bet of the day Race 4 12.Wildchild $5.50 FF

Speed map special Race 1 1.Startling Reminder $3.30 FF 1st $2.60 

Multi of the Day  3 8.Icebomb $2.40 FF with Race 5 2.Devil May Care $3 FF $72 returned for every $10

Suggested early quaddie: $10 for 37%

Leg 1: 1. Startling Reminder
2. Mishka
10. Regal Dancer
Leg 2: 4. White Diamond
7. Imran
8. Soldier Field
Leg 3: 8. Icebomb
Leg 4: 3. Full Of Grace
11. Toffee Pop
12. Wild Child

 

Suggested late quaddie for $16.20 for 10%

Leg 1: 3. Full Of Grace
11. Toffee Pop
12. Wild Child
Leg 2: 2. Devil May Care
5. Cameahotfriday
8. Ujjayyi
Leg 3: 1. Ambitious Winner
4. Fortius
12. Link Road
Leg 4: 1. My Pride And Joy
3. Luen Yat Miracle
4. Avec Moi
6. Red My Mind
7. Speechmaker
11. Falkirk Lass

 

Race 1

Confidence: 2/5

1.Startling Reminder 1st $2.60 fought on bravely for second fresh up after setting an even pace and will be improved by that. Should be able to lead or sit on it and there doesn’t look to be much midrace pressure, so with natural improvement from this big fella from the baker/Forsman stable, he can win this.  RP $2.60, $3.30 Ff

Dangers:

10.Regal Dancer has had plenty of goes. The side winkers go on after a couple of solid seconds.

9.Pokuru Wild good second last start and 1600m ideal now.

Race 2

Confidence: 1/5

4.White Diamond good 4th last start when the race suited on pace runners and has beaten better fields than this. RP $4.50, $8 Ff

Dangers:

7.Imran did very well last start when 3 wide with cover and kept up a sustained run for second. Had a few goes though and drawn wide.

1.Storming The Tower giving plenty of weight to these. Drawn to get all favours but hard to back with confidence giving so much weight away.

8.Soldier Field  much better run for second last start. Can go on with it now.

 

Race 3

Confidence: 3/5

8.Icebomb 1st $1.90  found the line hard too late after getting out too late fresh up. She would have with a clear run and has a hard fast sprint. Looks stronger and 1300m ideal. RP $2, $2.50 FF

Dangers:

7.Emerald Armour strong second last start and drawn ideally.

11.Badea nice trials and drawn well.

Race 4

Confidence: 2/5

12.Wild Child did well last start when midfield 3 wide in the open off an even tempo but still closed off strongly and drawn well. The start before she showed she had ability when a bit unlucky. Drawn to get a winning trip this time. RP $4, $5.50 FF

Dangers:

3.Full Of Grace looked good winning his trial leading all the way. Drawn the rail.

11.Toffee Pop  good fourth two back and Slow track may not have suited last start.

Race 5

Confidence: 3/5

2.Devil May Care 1st $3.30 looked good winning at Matamata. He looked to have developed into a stronger horse too. Then he went to Awapuni and got beaten after being slow away and getting out wide, but found the line better than anything. He needs a good speed up front which he is very likely to get here. So third up and up to 1300m, he just needs the gaps to appear on the turn, and he can get over these. RP $2.20, $3 Ff

Dangers:

5.Cameahotfriday goes well fresh and ran a nice trial recently showing he was ready to do it again, especially with 3kgs off.

8.Ujjayyi ran a better race last start and is fitter. Has early speed and drawn the ace. Likely to get taken on though so needs a good ride.

Race 6

Confidence: 2/5

1.Ambitious Winner 1st $3 two starts back was ridden abit quieter and really rounded it off like a horse going places and in good time over 1400m. Then last start he was slow away, got back on the inner and ran home strongly for second to a smart filly. Drawn to land about 5th or 6th again, and on the better track, is well placed to win this. RP $3.50, $4.20FF

Dangers:

12.Link Road may get a soft lead. Game third two back over 1550m when setting an even pace. Back to 1400m from a good draw Sam may steal this if the inside is ok.

4.Fortius very good run last start of an on-pace race. Likely to bet back though and with not a lot of speed again, may struggle to run down Ambitious Winner and Link Road going wide on the turn.

Race 7

Confidence: 1/5 with one of the six below likely to take this out.

3.Leun Yat Miracle has won twice here and drawn to get an ideal run and is ready to peak again.

Dangers:

6.Red My Mind beat the Derby runner-up on debut and will be ready to do it again.

12.Falkirk Lass with a good run from the wide draw, could upset.

1.My Pride And Joy 1st $6 drawn to get a good run and if in the mood, could do it.

4.Avec Moi with a good run will be right in this.

7.Speechmaker needed that last run. Has ability.

 

 

About Neil Davis

Neil is New Zealand's leading form analyst with particular expertise in the area of horse racing sectional times. He has had a life time interest in racing. The Formpro website first started back in 2008 - 10 years ago!