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Wednesday selections posted below

Update: 1.45

With only $k5 in the Matamata quaddie pool with 30 minutes to go, it isn’t likely to get beyond $20k and with a couple of favoured runners likely to win, it is unlikely to pay more than $4k so pass and pass on the Ozzie quaddie as well. Next one will probably be on Saturday.

Matamata

Good morning,

We missed on our first quaddie at Caulfield for the syndicate and we may have one today which I will post by 2 p.m. or 4.20 p.m. for Australia. It is a slow 9 track today and it will be tough going for most.

Good luck,

Neil

Bet of the day Race 2 1. Master Painton $1.95 FF  2nd 

Value bets of the day Race 4 13.Imblaze $5.50 FF 1st $6.40 and race 5 10.Goboniego $7.50 FF late scratched

 

Suggested quaddie for $18.80 for 5%

Leg 1: 1. Saint Croix
2. Show ‘N’ Go
8. Sansa Stark
10. Goboniego
14. Witchery
Leg 2: 3. Cavallo Eccellente
4. Facepaint
9. Palamedes
12. Sweet Nineteen
16. Yamuna
Leg 3: 4. Qian Gua
5. Chou Chou
6. Hot Saki
Leg 4: 1. Prince Jabeel
2. Mister Geronimo
3. Deejay Mac
4. Hatrick Boys
8. Go Go Goal

 

Race 1

Confidence: 2/5

1.Iniga Montoya 2nd $1.50 qu $7 ran into a good one last start in Obsessive. Very fit and a slow-heavy track is ok. RP $3.70, $3.50 FF

Dangers:

7.Surrey 1st $3.70  the very well bred 5yo out of Makybe Diva  looked good belting down the outer from 6th inner to win going away in his trial. Strong type suited to 1600m and his action says he will handle a wet track well.

Race 2

Confidence: 2/5

1.Master Painton 2nd after getting every chance  is due to win and he ran a strong second here last start with a good wet track action to Hanger who has franked that form since! RP $2.20

Dangers:

6.Not Usual Prince fought on well last start for fourth and a wetter track will suit his action.

 

Race 3

Confidence: 2/5

3.Colleraine did well fresh up 4th and wide in the open but probably in better ground and didn’t flinch right to the line. 1400m sill suit and a slow track suits.

Dangers:

4.Fistral Beach found the line like she will relish 1400m now.

2.Lady Kartel game second last start and drawn to get all favours.

1.Velveteen tough and fresh up will be in this. The tougher the going the better her chances.

Race 4

Confidence: 2/5

13.Imblaze 1st $6.30 after working wide on the pace. last start came home strongly for fourth after a tough run. She has won here on a heavy track over 1400m and is ready to repeat the win. Gets 3kgs off and peaking in the right race over 1400m. RP $3.00

Dangers:

3.Grand Soleil nice mare. If the inside is no good though, could be in trouble fresh up. ( 4.5kgs to Imblaze though)

14.Tattybogler  ran home well in a good last 600m last start and is ready to go better.

1.Artiste will get back and be charging home. Giving good weight ( 4.5kgs to Imblaze though)

Race 5

Confidence: 1/5

10.Goboniego looked good coming from 6th, wide on the turn and strode away relishing the heavy track. Looks ready to win fresh.  $9.50 FF

Dangers:

8.Sansa Stark solid third last start against two nice horses. Wet track ok.

2.Show ‘N’ Go has had his chances and does things wrong in the straight. Action ok for wet though and fitter now. If inside is ok, being against the rail will help.

1.Saint Croix 1st $3.50   has had a few goes but can handle a wet track better than most.

5.Leaf 2nd $4.50 ran a strong 3rd in his trial on a heavy track with a good wet track action. Wide draw could be a plus.

14.Witchery  ran home ok for third in her trial hanging so may be better this way round.

13.Mistress ran a fair 4th to Goboniego in his trial racing wide all the way and wasn’t pushed. Action says wet track ok.

Other thoughts:

9.Akoya Pearl  did little in a recent trial.

7.Sylwek was a well beaten 4th under a ride in his recent trial.

11.Bangles weakened under a ride in her trial. Drawn wide.

12.Just Kate done nothing in two starts.

 

Race 6

Confidence: 1/5

9.Palamedes won his trial under a ride on a heavy track but bred to win a few races and action says wet track ok.

Dangers:

1.Amazing Banker 1st $13.10  strong fella suited to a heavy slog and good third two starts back beside The Chaser who has won twice since.

3.Cavallo Eccellente action says wet track ok and trialling well- last one led and was never touched in the straight for fourth. Ready.

4.Facepaint  won strongly on a slow track in a trial last year. Fair fifth on debut. Drawn well.

12.Sweet Nineteen  was hampered in the staright on debut and battled on ok after. Drawn well.

2.Clarios 3rd $4.80  good fourth last start and with a good run likely can be in it.

16.Yamuna  2nd $7 trialled nicely when on the pace and wasn’t pushed for 4th and the others were. Bred to handle a wet track and action will help.

14.Simply Divine not a bad effort on debut after working wide early and wilting 150m out.

Other thoughts:

8.Bella Rocia has had ten goes for no joy. Drawn wide. If inside is swampy then can come into it.

Race 7

Confidence: 1/5

4.Qian Gua 2nd  $1.70 won easily in both of his starts here and 2000m suits.

Dangers:

1.Battle Royal likes it here and gets 2kgs off.

2.Joe Cargo 1st $5.50   won well here two back and ok last start. May get same soft run in front again.

5.Chou Chou won well after racing keenly last start. Blinkers come off which will help her settle better. Right in this.

6.Hot Saki 3rd $3won well last start and 2000m ok on a wet track.

8.On Parole  will appreciate the Slow track and 2kgs off.

Race 8

Confidence: 1/5

1.Prince Jabeel 2nd  $1.60  solid second last start and wet track suits his action.

Dangers:

8.Go Go Goal  found the line like a stayer on debut and gets 2kgs off. Slow track ok.

2.Mister Geronimo  3rd $2.70close second last start to Wee Gilly who placed in a Listed race next up.

3.Deejay Mac 1st $5.80 quad $1721  was confidently backed last start and did well for third. Wet track suits.

4.Hatrick Boys found the line like he needs 200m now and will relish a wet track

5.Mr Nik  good third two starts back.

6.Momus  looking for 200m now and wet track ok.

12.Secretaria fitter after handy fifth last start when money was on.

 

 

About Neil Davis

Neil is New Zealand's leading form analyst with particular expertise in the area of horse racing sectional times. He has had a life time interest in racing. The Formpro website first started back in 2008 - 10 years ago!