Gee, I’m quite excited about previewing a meeting with some nice horses that could end up competing on a Dead 6 track by Race 1 at Matamata! With Spring upon us and decent weather kicking in, I’m really going to be getting stuck into the North Island meetings this Spring and Summer. Not only with the previews, but reviews as well. In those, I’ll be noting which runners are worth following, how the sectionals reveal which runners were advantaged or disadvantaged by the tempo, notable last 600m and 200 metre sectionals and much more.
The preview will be in-depth and I’ll be noting the negatives and positives for the favourite. Plus, with my rated price, you can see if it is value or worth backing one or two others in the race to beat it. I think we all know, if you can get the favourite beaten, you can set yourself up for some big collects. Just look at that $6k quaddie at Wanganui last Saturday. Indiginous Union, Strolling Vagabond and Thee Old Cougar weren’t hard to find, and if you thought Botti wasn’t suited by an on pace bias or the track was too good for Aternartin, it wouldn’t have been too hard to put in Bobby Dazzler, which blew the quaddie price out.
The track has come back to a Slow 7 and could get back to a dead 6 and should be running around 1.12 for 1200m.
The full preview can be seen here by subscribers including the Best Bet, Value bet, Speed Map Special and Sneaky bet. Plus recommended early and late quaddies along with an upodate by noon with any head to head or other bets, plus Market Movers.
Below is a preview of race 1 which I will make a regular feature of the site for North Island meetings.
The speed map shows good early speed right across the field ensuring at least an even tempo suiting all runners.
Confidence: 2/5 and some nice horses in it. The top three selections all look likely to at least win a maiden in their next two or three starts.
1.Drake Bay has found the line strongly and his first two starts and the 1400m will suit ideally now. His galloping action indicates he will relish the improved track condition as well. With a good tempo in the race likely, he should be able to settle behind midfield, and even 3 wide with cover, can get a track into it and third up, with Vinnie Colgan choosing him over Adis, he can get over these. Negative is: will get back and rely on an even tempo at least ( but the map says he should get that) . RP $3.70, $4 FF
9.Adis Has placed in stronger fields ( 2nd in Group 2 2000m Royal Stakes at Ellerslie ) and was caught wide fresh up. Drawn to get an ideal run here and can certainly be in this. RP $5.50, $8.20 FF is nice value
4. Parliament after winning his first two trials he was strongly favoured to win on debut. He got back and came widest on the turn and wanted to run in under the right-hand whip and did very well to keep closing for third. He looks a definite improver and will be hard to beat here. Negatives are he is second up and still learning.
10.Carreleur ran second here last start beating Parliament home. Has drawn out wider this time so that won’t help. Trainer Mark Lupton said, ” She’s really worked well since that last run here. She’s got a big heart and tries hard. She may be better up to 1600m as she’s a work in progress.”
3.Acre.Has been racing against harder maiden and fields and back to 1400 m will help. Will slide forward from the wide draw and be a chance from there.
8.Ultimatexpectation Ran on strongly last start behind a good horse who has since won and with a freshener can sneak into a place.
12.Chiara ran third fresh up and has trialled recently so looks a decent place chance at odds.
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