It looks like it is going to be a wet one if you are north of the Cook Strait anyway. Hopefully it won’t soak Ellerslie and Awapuni too much. With the new drainage, the Ellerslie track should recover quickly. The early preview of Ellerslie will be posted by 2 p.m. today. ( Make that 6 p.m. now with 40mm of rain forecast to fall at Ellerslie today and Christmas day) Now posted here
David did an excellent preview of the Pick 6 and other races yesterday, and it wasn’t hard to get a slice of the $10,000 payout. He’s also doing a preview of the Cambridge dogs today and you can also get free use of the ratings as well.
Have a nice relaxing day tomorrow, because as you know, it really ramps up over the following ten days or so. I’ll be doing my best to find us some winners. The Quality bets have been ticking over nicely since starting with 12 wins from 26 bets for a 43.6 unit return and a 17.6 unit profit on level stakes. When I analyse the winners out of them, a strong common factor is having good confidence in how the race will be run. Some people ignore speed maps, but I would have to say they are one of the most influential from factors in making money off racing. If you can confidently predict the tempo of the race and if it gives an advantage to your horse, then you can bet with confidence.
For example, Bridal Veil and No Finer Pins at Matamata, both mapped to get the tempo and runs that they did and won at excellent value. But sometimes it turns to custard, as it did with What A Smasher on Saturday. The plan by the trainer was to allow her to settle back, as she did last start, and unleash. But she jumped so well, Madan Singh had no option but to settle 2nd outer. As the sectionals show here, they ran the first 600m almost the same as the second 600m, so it was a good effort to lead and hold on, but the lightweight would have helped with that. Every speed map for every new Zrealand galops and greyhound race can be found on the Formpro Ratings site.
I’ll be posting more articles on various form factors after Christmas. If you have any topics you would like me to cover, please let me know.
Enjoy the ride,
You can login with username Formpro and the password can be heard by calling 0900 36 76 7 ( 0900 FORMPRO ) for a cost of $10 which will last till this Thursday night, December 27. Or you can subscribe here with Credit Card or direct banking into ANZ 01-0677-0114026-00
Some users, instead of ringing the 0900 36767 number now like to deposit $10 into my Bank account ANZ 01-0677-0114026-00 and then text me on 027 352 6402 for the the Formpro current and new password which will last till this Thursday night, which can be done easily.
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