Some big open fields here but a few nice horses that will come out of it. No Quality bets today. Rusavy in race 8 strikes the right field to break through.
Bet of the day Race 8 1.Rusavy $2.30 FF
Value bet of the Day Race 5 10.It’s All Fake News $11 FF
9.Valmur closed off strongly last start for 4h in an R65 race. Should be improved by that and will find this easier.
13.Winklebelle ran a very good second last start and drawn to get a good draw.
1.Newmarket won well last start over 1600m and is bred to be a good stayer. Drawn to get a good run again and looks the one.
3.Dare To Compare looks the main danger dropping back to this easier race and won well at Tauranga.
2.Philosophical is looking for ground now.
6.Star Karen ran on well last start and very fit now.
1.Holymongolemperor in his trial got well back but once he got balanced up unleashed an impressive finish. He has the breeding and is in the right stable to win on debut. Backed in from $6.50 to $3.20 which indicates strong confidence in the camp. RP $3, $3.20
9.Tears Of Jupiter beat home Aretha in a recent trial and she won the big race at Matamata on Saturday. Drawn out but with a good beginning, is the main danger.
11.Hetty ran home nicely in her trial and drawn well with 3kgs off. RP $3.50
3.Hasabro raced well in Oz in stronger fields. Will get back and needs a good pace and will win if he gets it.
12.Puddles fitter after a good second and hard to run down.
10.Its All Fake News ran a strong second fresh up and with the 3kgs off this time, in a weak field, looks the one despite being a maiden in an R65 field. RP $6, $12
6.Mocassin is ready to strike fresh up.
1.Bruegel is racing well and 1400m suits now.
7.Mercy Hill didn’t have things go her way last start and was very unlucky the start before that. She isa good mare and with a fair crack at these, she will be hard to beat. RP $2.60, $3.20 FF
4.O’Hara with a soft lead could prove hard to catch.
5.Fabulous Flight won well last start and with a good run likely, is the main danger.
8.Anything But closed off very well on debut for 4th and looks set to go close in this field. RP $3
7.Rathvilly has shown enough to be the main danger. Side winkers go on.
13.Trip To Freedom in his trial got back and ran home nicely without being pushed.
1.Rusavy was going better than anything 200m out last start but had nowhere to go. Once out it was all over. He settled better in that race and looks primed to win this. RP $2.20
13.Striking Pose ran on well late last start when clear. Drawn to get a good run.
Confidence: 1/5 with plenty of room for an upset.
6.Deels Done ran home strongly for 2nd on debut and 1600m suits now. RP $4
1.Caught The Eye has run two strong placings and with a good run on the pace should be the one they have to run down.
13.Babiche ran 3rd to a couple of nice horses last start. Fitter after that too.
14.Henley Road will appreciate the 1600m now after hitting the line well in both of his runs this campaign.
13.Crescent fought hard for second here last start and fitter now from a good draw. RP $4
1.Inigo Montoya has run a few seconds. If he can get a good run off a decent tempo, he will be hard to beat.
14.Savastep has drawn to get a good run and has to be a realistic chance with that.