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Friday selections and Value Staking Plan

Good morning,

Heads Up can be seen below with a preview of the Hawkes Bay Cup, sports elections and a chance to win a $5,000 collect off a multi.

It was always going to be a tricky day punting at Rotorua but it has been made even trickier with the overnight rain bringing it back to a slow 7. So many riders will be coming back with the excuse 102 and stating they either didn’t handle the ground or it was too good for them. Or excuse number 208 stating the track bias was against it. There are two horses here I’ve detailed that should handle it and are well placed but simply no value, so no Quality bets.

The early Saturday preview is here

Yesterday at Wingatui, I outlined how you could use the Value Staking Plan on three Quality bets there. Two of them came in and the other couldn’t get to the better part of the straight here

10.4 units were outlaid and 22.3 units were collected. The staking plan tells you exactly how much you bet depending on the price you can get. Dreaming Easy got out to $5 which would have increased your bet from 3.4 units to 4 units. Diesn’t it make sense that the more value you can get, the more you should put on. If you had $100 for a bet tomorrow, how much would you put on her at $1.06? Maybe $10 just say you finally backed Winx when she won her final race. What if you could get $1.20? It is starting to get tempting. Maybe $30 for an easy $6 for a free coffee. But if you could get $2, you probably couldn’t the $100 on quick enough. And long term, that’s how you will make your money, on good value bets.

Tomorrow, I’ll be previewing the Hastings meeting in detail, with special mention about the favourites and if they are no value. At that meeting last year, no favourites won on the slow 7 track, so if you can confidently see the favourite getting beaten, we are going to get some value on others. I’ll post an early preview of Saturday by 5 p.m. along with Heads Up.

You can login with username Formpro and the password can be heard by calling 0900 36 76 7  ( 0900 FORMPRO )  for a cost of $10 which will last till next Thursday night. Or you can subscribe here with Credit Card or direct banking into ANZ 01-0677-0114026-00

Some users, instead of ringing the 0900 36767 number now like to deposit $10 into my Bank account ANZ 01-0677-0114026-00 and then text me on 027 352 6402 for the the Formpro current and new password which will last till next Thursday night, which can be done easily.

Good luck,

Neil

Enquiries to Neil at [email protected] or text or phone 027 352 6402

About Neil Davis

Neil is New Zealand's leading form analyst with particular expertise in the area of horse racing sectional times. He has had a life time interest in racing. The Formpro website first started back in 2008 - 10 years ago!