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Thursday preview below

Update 12.05 p.m.:

Head to Heads

Race 3 Cast In Bronze $1.75 yes and easily to beat Lady Verawood

Two very good runs by Cast In Bronze. Two starts back game second with nice wet track action then not far away in a stronger maiden last start when on a solid tempo ( and lost a plate during the running which never helps). Gets her head  down and maps to slide forward to get 2nd outer on a moderate tempo. Lady Verawood has had her chance over the last 200m in her last three runs and was a bit one paced, so hard to see her outfinishing Cast In Bronze giving her a start from the top of the straight. RP $1.40, $1.75 FF

Suggested multi with the head to head above, into Race 6 Miss Freelove $1.25 place missed after showing little fight when tackled after setting the pace. and Race 7 Coventina Bay place $1.48  $10 returns $32.30

Otaki

Some tricky fields today so I’ve concentrated on the last quaddie.

I’ll post an update by noon with any other head to head or other bets.

No Good confidence bets today so far.

Suggested quaddie for $42 for 10% yes return doubled with the late scratching of 4 in race 7 $105.40 returned for the bet.

R5  1, 6, 8, 9, 11
R6  6, 7, 10, 11
R7  1, 4, 11
R8  2, 3, 6, 7, 9, 10, 11

Quaddie preview

Race 5 leg 1

The Bookies have 1-11-6-9-and 8 at $8 FF or less and the rest $17 or more. I can’t see any of the roughies beating the five runners mentioned and it is hard to eliminate any of them. 11.Penelope Cruise 1st $3.80 looked good winning her jumpout at New Plymouth and was punted heavily on debut but got back and ended up in the slow lane, so forgive her that. 1.Fattore Otto  good 2nd fresh up but his action says he would prefer a better track

Race 6

Confidence: 2/5

7.Miss Freelove fought much better than I thought she would against a good maiden winner last start. There was a gap to a couple of handy horses too. Obviously she has come back stronger and drawn to get a good run as long as the inside isn’t off. RP $2.30, $2.20 FF

Dangers:

6.Francesa Kate and 10.Dezella 1st $6   both finished together in their recent trial and are ready to go fresh.

11.Later On could upset as she found the line nicely fresh up and showed enough last campaign.

Race 7

Confidence: 2/5 The money has only come for the two below who both look like they will win more than one race, but they are both likely to be off the pace so we need cover up front with the other one below.

11.Coventina Bay  1st $2.40 has won both of her trials impressively coming from off the pace after showing average speed away. She has an ideal action for a Slow to heavy track and used that effectively when going to the line strongly in both of her wins. The blinkers were on both times too. Gets 2kgs off and the money has come for her. $4.80 into $3.50 FF, RP $3.50

1.Powertaine  would have won well if Lady Rudolph wasn’t in his race on debut. She’s a nice mare and his action suggests a heavy track will be fine and J Parkes jumps on.

4.He’s Done a Runner won his trial really well 3 wide on the pace and has a good action for a wet track.

Race 8

Confidence: 1/5 in the race for an upset so hopefully we can be on it!

6.Dance For Money  has rated strongly on slow and heavy tracks and had a quiet recent trial beating Last Chance when she looked to be full of running but was in the slowest lane and finished last. Ready to go though and the early money has come for her. $14 into $12 RP $7

Dangers:

7.Last Chance won fresh up last campaign and the way he won his recent trial, beating Art Deco who ran well on Saturday, he can repeat the dose.

11.That’s Funny  has the best FR on a heavy track in the last 12 months and gets 3kgs off. Can upset.

10.Play The Field 1st $9 quad $527 ran some nice races last campaign and rates well on a wet track. Gets 2kgs off and drawn well if the inside is ok.

2.Divine Power is favourite and has rated well on Dead and better tracks and her action suggests she needs that, so can get beaten. The plus is coming back to 1200m will suit.

3.Denny’s Lincoln  is coming back after a long break from an injury and is likely to improve with the run- finished behind stablemate Last Chance in a recent trial.

 

About Neil Davis

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Neil is New Zealand's leading form analyst with particular expertise in the area of horse racing sectional times. He has had a life time interest in racing. The Formpro website first started back in 2008 - 10 years ago!