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Thursday preview below

Good morning,

I am going for a multi for the Quality bet today. Both are below. Value staking plan says 4.9 units on at $2.97 yes 14.5 units returned – 4.9 bet = 9.6 unit net profit.

New  Plymouth

Race 5 3.27 p.m.

Confidence 4/5

Head to head ( scroll down on the TAB page to find the head to head odds under the usual odds )

Mizzena $1.75 to beat Da Jin Shan Yes and did it by a few lengths- amazingly got out to $2 head to head.

Both of these horses started here last start over 1600m. Mizzena ran t0 the 600m mark 6 lengths quicker than Da Jin Shan and came home only 4 lengths slower but was held up early in the straight. She ran a 1.5L quicker overall time than Da Jin Shan. This time Mizzena gets a swing of 4.5kgs and the step to 1800m is going to suit Mizzena much more than Da Jin Shan. So Mizzena has everything in her favour and I rate her a $1.30 chance to beat home Da Jin Shan.


Race 3 12.41

Confidence: 4/5

1.Thrilling Bruce Yes with a very good effort after being crossed early but used race sense to drive home and win well. has won 5 from 6 races and on Monday began well from box 1, showed good acceleration to lead and and won strongly in better time than the better class races on the same day. Stays in the same class and from box has the early speed to lead again and with 2 and 3 slower away, should hold these out comfortably. RP $1.40, $1.70 FF

About Neil Davis

Neil is New Zealand's leading form analyst with particular expertise in the area of horse racing sectional times. He has had a life time interest in racing. The Formpro website first started back in 2008 - 10 years ago!