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Sunday preview below

Update 11.48 a.m.:

There is a $10k Bonus quaddie at Invercargill trots- suggested quaddie is below for $28.80 for 10%

R7   4, 6, 9
R8    2, 8, 10, 13
R9     1, 2, 9, 10
R10    1, 7, 9, 11, 12, 13

Otaki

Shame about the heavy 11 but I’ve previewed all races. No Quality bets. I’ll post an update by noon.

Bet of the day Race 6 7.London Express $1.85 FF 1st $1.80 

Value Bet of the day Race 8 8.Platinum Valos $12 FF

Race 1

Confidence: 2/5

2.Hartley in great form on better tracks but has won on  a heavy 11 before. RP $3

Dangers:

4.Collinstreet  is a good horse and gets 3kgs off. 1st $3.70

Race 2

Confidence:2/5

4.Miss Woburn  looked good winning on debut and is bred to win a few more races. Should have these covered with Lisa Allpress up. RP $2.40

Race 3

Confidence: 2/5

6.Blackmagicwoman won on a bog two back and game third last start. Gets 3kgs off. RP $4

Dangers:

5.Nitro Ted  with a good ride will be in it.

2.Sylvester handles a heavy track well but giving good weight away.

Race 4

Confidence: 2/5

2.Classclown is a nice galloper who ran a very game second to race rival Deuce coupe fresh up. he looked a bit fresh and was a bit keen early but he fought back hard right to the line. He has a good wet track action and he will definitely be fitter for this and trained by Fraser Auret, who is one of the best. RP $3.20, $3.50 FF

Dangers:

11.Deuce Coupe beat Classclown last start but meets him worse off in the weights and Classclown will be fitter, but looks the likely quinella

 

Race 5

Confidence: 1/5

1.Mehrtens has run second  here on a heavy track and should get his chance to go one better.

5.Straight Sets keeps on going handy races and if inside is off, will get his chance.

4.Desert Magic 1st $3.70 will be improved by that fresh up run and with an easier time up front can improve.

11.Dana’s Prophecy has won fresh up on a slow track leading all the way. If inside is ok could upset.

9.Fl0ral Belt freshened up and gets 4kgs off . Heavy track a query though.

Race 6

Confidence:2/5

7.London Express 1st $1.80  scratched from a harder race yesterday for this and looks well placed with 3kgs off.

6.Deerfield  looks the obvious danger back on a heavy track over 1200m.

4.Stradivarius can win if the other two have a bad day at the races.

Race 7

Confidence: 2/5

4.Times Ticking 1st $4 was a bit stiff at Hastings. Hasn’t raced on a heavy track but his action says he will handle it. Best horse in the field. RP $3.00, $4 Ff

Dangers:

1.Armaguard has the top three FRs on a heavy track and gets 2kgs off and was just beatehn here on a heavy track in August.

Other thoughts:

5.Cover Drive ran home well fresh up but has a dry track action and has failed on a heavy 11 before, so can be left out.

Race 8

Confidence:2/5

8.Platinum Valos  has won here on a bog over 1200m and good form race last start when one length third behind Polly Grey who won the Matamata cup last week. Gets 3kgs off and drawn away from the fence. RP $4.50

Dangers:

2.Tavis Court  1st $1.80 seems to relish racing and a heavy track will suit. Really needs a claim of 3kgs to back with confidence in this though.

5.Red Forest won well in this grade on a bog two starts back. Obvious chance.

3.Skyphyta handles a bog well and a wide draw is a plus.

 

 

 

 

 

 

About Neil Davis

Neil is New Zealand's leading form analyst with particular expertise in the area of horse racing sectional times. He has had a life time interest in racing. The Formpro website first started back in 2008 - 10 years ago!