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Thursday preview and Tauranga Punters Club

You can join the Tauranga Punters Club for this Saturday here. I’m going through the form there with a fine tooth comb and I’m determined to do well, but no guarantees.

No Quality bets so far – update by noon.

The Awapuni track has come back from a Slow 7 yesterday to a Dead 6 this morning but there is rain forecast this morning so if your selection needs a Dead track wait. The full preview is here

I’ve gone through race 8 using the Formpro Ratings to project what FR it will run today and what it needs to run to win. If there is a positive difference, it is well in at the weights taking everything else into account. It worked well with True Enough yesterday as he was rated equal best with a +2 along with Watch This Space who had to cover too much ground.

‘3.True Enough 1st $4 and got that winning run which made all the difference   has rated 113 at his last three starts and only needs to rate 112 to win this on 54kgs. I feel he could easily have rated an FR 114 with clearer runs.  With only 17 starts you would think he should be able to improve on his best rating third up, especially from this stable. Last start he got a nice quiet run behind a moderate tempo and once clear 150m out, drove hard to almost win giving 5kgs to the others, including Concert Hall, who flashed late for 4th at Ellerslie off a slow tempo next up in a strong field. At Tauranga he was an unlucky third to Volpe Veloce rating 113 in good time over 1600m with 55kgs at the end of his campaign.  He confidently maps to get a winning run from the draw and third up from the Baker/Forsman stable, he will be at peak for this. So my adjusted rating for him for this is 114, so he needs to rate 112 to win, so he’s a +2 RP $3.20, $3.60 FF’

Luke Kemeys, the spearhead of The Boys Get Paid facebook group, showed how it was done yesterday with a $10k eachway bet at $5.50 and $2.15 on True Enough when he got on at the early odds on Monday!

You can login with username Formpro and the current and the new password can be heard by calling 0900 36 76 7  ( 0900 FORMPRO )  for a cost of $10 which will last till next Thursday night. Or you can subscribe here with Credit Card or direct banking into ANZ 01-0677-0114026-00

Some users, instead of ringing the 0900 36767 number now like to deposit $10 into my Bank account ANZ 01-0677-0114026-00 and then text me for the the Formpro current and new password which will last till next Thursday night, which can be done easily. ( Or $5 for a day pass)

 

Good luck,

Neil

Enquiries to Neil at formpro@formpro.co.nz or text or phone 027 352 6402

About Neil Davis

Neil is New Zealand's leading form analyst with particular expertise in the area of horse racing sectional times. He has had a life time interest in racing. The Formpro website first started back in 2008 - 10 years ago!