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Friday 13 December preview below

 

 

Good morning,

No Quality bets today. But there is one for Saturday so far. Awapuni Race 8 2.Aalaalune at $2.80 Ff for 4.2 units with the value staking plan. I’ll post the reasons later today.

Early Quaity bet

Awapuni Race 7

Confidence: 3/5 4.2 units at $2.80 Ff

2.Aalaalune rated 106 when running a close 4th here in the Sires. This campaign she didn’t get things go her way until she showed that she has got what it takes to be a very good horse when charging away at Te Rapa in a very good speed rating and eased down late. She has developed into a very strong three year old filly and from the draw, should be able to slot in about 6th or 7th outer, and with enough tempo up front looking likely. Ryan Elliot, who knows her well now, should be able to find the gaps to power over these in the last 100 metres. RP $2.00, $2.80 FF ( 4.2 units with the Value Staking Plan )

A few horses well placed to win today but not a lot of value. Sam Weatherley looks in for a good day.

Tauranga

Bet of the day Race  1 1.Ranger $1.60 Ff

Value bet of the day Race 8 4.Butterfield $4 Ff

Race 1

Confidence: 3/5

1.Ranger ran a top third last start rating strongly against better horses. Drops back to a weaker field here and is very fit. Should land second outer or lead and won’t get a better chance to win. $1.60 is a bit short but may drift late. RP $1.90, $1.60

Race 2

Confidence: 3/5

6.Aileen Grace won impressively here two starts back and was caught out by a sit sprint and a shuffle up at the wrong time last start here. With a freshener and back to 1400m, she will be hard to keep out. RP $2.80, $3.20 FF

Race 4

Confidence:2/5

5.Riverfalls ran a close second here over 1200 and found 1400m too far last start. Drawn to get a good run and with the weight advantage over the favourite, can bet him. RP $2,50, $2.80 Ff

Race 6

Confidence: 2/5

7.Olivia closed off strongly here last start for second in the best speed rating of the day. She is fitter now and there looks to be good speed so can get over these late. RP $4.20, $5 FF

Race 8

Confidence: 2/5

4.Butterfield did very well last start when he had to work hard early to cross to second outer and fought on gamely for second behind the smart Scorpz, down the long straight. Back to 1400m looms ideal now. RP $3.50, $4 Ff

 

 

About Neil Davis

Neil is New Zealand's leading form analyst with particular expertise in the area of horse racing sectional times. He has had a life time interest in racing. The Formpro website first started back in 2008 - 10 years ago!