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Wednesday preview below

Update 11.53:

Race 7 head to head Liquid Inspiration $1.90 to beat Romantic Lady on the heavy track.

Recommended multi with Two Madison to win returns $36.10 for $10

Good morning,

No Quality bets.

We have a heavy track to do the form on which always makes it tricky, so the last quaddie looks the best way to go.

Two Maddison looks the best bet all day at $2.00 FF. I’ll see if I can find a good head to head or other bet to multi into her in the update by noon.

Suggested quaddie for $48 for 100%

R5   2, 3, 5
R6    1, 4, 5, 7
R7    1, 4, 6, 7
R8    9

Race 5

2.Osaka looks a nice galloper based on his first trial win on a heavy track handling it well, so has to be in.

3.Intelligent Patch also looked good winning a trial on a heavy track coming from the back. Blinkers go on.

5.Blindspott  ran on well two starts back and her action suggests she will handle it better than most.

Race 6

1.Tweedledee  has the top five Formpro Ratings on a slow to heavy track. Gets a freshen up and 3kgs off.

4.Bluetwentytwo  goes best here and with a freshen up and the second best FR on a heavy track, with in-form Jason Waddell up, has to be a chance.

5.Ohceedee  has run three good races and a wet track holds no fears.

7.Lady Painton  has done enough to include in quaddies with the light weight.

Other thoughts:

2.Stand Tall  won well off a good pace last start but a heavy track is the query with all of his form on better tracks- happy to risk from an inside draw with a 4kg apprentice up.

Race 7

1.Liquid Inspiration  won easily last start and the trainer said he wanted more moisture for her, so he gets that along with 2kgs off again.

6.Autumn Wild  close third fresh up on a heavy track over 1230m. Good second last start and if the inside is ok, should get a cosy trip.

4.Ottavio  is the upsetter here. Handles a heavy track well and may get a soft  outside the lead and prove hard to run down. Second best FR on a heavy track.

7.She’s A Goddess  has won two races here and if left alone in front with Ottavio, and the inside is ok, could prove hard to catch with the weight advantage.

Other thoughts:

8.Romantic Lady  looked good winning on a Dead track here last start but struggled to finish off here on a heavy track earlier in her career when a battling fourth. Happy to risk up in class.

7.Wild Seas   just won last start in the same grade. up in weight and a heavy track is no help.

Race 8

Confidence: 3/5 where 9.Two Madison should win this by default

9.Two Madison  does look the best anchor after two starts back here, closing off hard for second to Gravitelle with a gap to the rest and Gravitelle won next up, and the 4th and 6th horses have won since. Last start here she was just held up till too late and flew late against many of these. You could get quite nervous about the inside draw as she will get back and if the inside is off, Sam Spratt will near all of her cunning skills to get her home ( plus the small field now helps) , but she does look the obvious one among this lot, especially as her action suggests she will handle the heavy ground easily. RP $1.80, $2.00 ff

Other thoughts:

10.Rosa Fiore  ran on well for third here last start in a good speed rating. But I can’t see her beating a more seasoned Two Madison first up over ground on a heavy track

1.Hosel Rocket  battled ok here for fifth last start but his action suggest he needs a non-heavy track to show his best and Two Madison was taking big ground off him here last start late.

4.Koolascuz ran on late here for 7th but action suggests a dry track is needed.

 

 

About Neil Davis

Neil is New Zealand's leading form analyst with particular expertise in the area of horse racing sectional times. He has had a life time interest in racing. The Formpro website first started back in 2008 - 10 years ago!