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Friday preview below

Update: Quality bet with the head to head multi below. The odds can be found under each race.

Rotorua race 1 head to head Hey Soul Sister $1.70 to beat Prestigious Lad. HSS had to move early last start when they buttoned off 800m out and fought well for third. With natural improvement will be spot on for this and drawn to get a good run from Danielle. PL looks a bit weak and drawn wide so will need to do some extra work somewhere in the race and the 2200m will likely find him out giving a clear advantage to HSS.  Yes easily

Head to Head New Plymouth Race 8 Aratoka $1.65 to beat Zareeba.  Aratoka top run here last start in a superior speed and class rating than Zareeba who beat a weaker field and is up in class. Yes easily

Suggested Multi; The two head to heads above $10 returns $2.80 It is a Quality bet RP $1.70 ( Value Staking plan says 5 units at $2.80 ) Yes 14 units returned for a 9 unit net profit.

Good  morning,

No Quality bets so far today. I’ll post an update by noon with any other bets and there maybe one in that, but I’ll Tweet out if there is.

You can still enter the Punters Club for New Plymouth ( the Sunday meeting, and Tauranga on January 2nd) Any funds returned from New Plymouth will be re-invested into the Tauranga Punters Club. I’ll be putting a lot of time into those races as well. Closes tonight, Friday night.

You can deposit ( $10 units) now into:

ANZ Account number 01-0677-0114026-01  ( N Davis) please don’t use the -00 Business account to deposit into. It closes tonight, i.e. Friday night

Email me at Formpro@formpro.co.nz or txt on 027 352 6402 with your initials or nickname along with the amount you deposited.

Good luck,

Neil

Rotorua

Bet of the day Taranaki Race 8 8.Aratoka $5.50 FF 2nd $2.50 

Value bet of the day Rotorua Race 6 3.Danger Dee $14 and $2.90 FF  1st $8

Race 1

Confidence:2/5

3.Rapidz  ran a very good fifth last start in a stronger maiden after being 3 wide in the open. Drawn ideally and gets 2kgs off this time. RP $4.00

Dangers:

7.Rusalka  game second here last start after covering ground. Drawn to be the main danger.

8.Hey Soul Sister  ran an improver’s third last start and drawn well.

Race 2

Confidence:2/5

6.Oceans Eight gets his chance to break through against a weak maiden field with Opie doing the steering. RP $2.80, $2.50

Dangers:

1.On The Nighttrain freshened up and drawn to get a good run.

Race 3

Confidence:1/5

4.Witchery  will be suited by the good tempo and 1400m now. Won’t get a better chance.RP $2.80

Dangers:

5.Snitz Of Time  is a quick improver in this weak field.

Race 4

Confidence:1/5

9.Love Struck  nicely bred and has struck a couple of strong maiden fields in her first two runs. Will find this easier and will be ready. RP $3.00

Dangers:

11.Hibernia Sea nice run on debut. No good last start. back to 1215m helps.

7.New Dawn looked good winning her trial. Needs a good ride.

10.Cathay Nova  looks to have speed but is a bit green. may be better this way round so from a good draw, could do it.

Race 5

Confidence: 2/5

5.Kiwiana  has rated strongest in better fields. Fitter now third up and Danielle Johnson knows her well. RP $3.50

Dangers:

9.Selenelion is peaking now after a solid third last start. Should get a good run.

1.Our Beeskees good 4th fresh up but has had many goes.

 

Race 6

Confidence:2/5

3.Danger Dee has rated an FR of 109 ( 1600m in an Open handicap on a slow track)  and 106 which would win any R72 race. This is an average R65 race and he has been racing without much luck in his last couple of starts. He will settle off the pace but with an even tempo likely, he just needs to get a nice track into it without covering too much ground, and he can upset these. RP $7, $14 and $2.90 FF

Dangers:

6.Declarada was caught on a fast tempo and weakened out last start. Suited to this course.

4.Deels Done keeps running on without winning and is too short at $2.20

2.Amasecoya  won well last start and should be improved.

Race 7

Confidence: 2/5

1.Patch Man  just beaten two back and was caught wide last start. Drawn to get every chance this time. RP $4

Dangers:

11.Pepperello game second fresh up and will be improved by that.

2.Castle Black  is capable of a fast last 200m and fresh up could upset off a decent tempo.

16.Tuppence  nicely bred and from the Pike stable from a good draw, could sneak it.

 

New Plymouth

Race 1

Confidence:2/5

6.Zealand  ran a game second fresh up when 6th outer on a solid pace and finished solidly for second. The 1800m will suit ideally now. RP $3.50, $3.20 FF

Dangers:

8.Caption  is ready to strike after two good runs. Drawn to get a good run.

1.Krakadeel  has had his chances and needs a soft lead.

Race 2

Confidence:2/5

9.Excuse My Hotness  ran home well fresh up here. 1200m sill suit better.

Dangers:

12.Mozart’s Mistress looked a quick improver from a good 4th here on debut. Lisa Allpress sticks with her.

16.Excitonic  won his trial well and is ready to fire fresh.

Race 3

Confidence: 2/5 

7.Communique is a nice looking filly and was unlucky on debut when held up until too late. She has a good action and drawn to get every chance. 1400m suits as well.RP $2.80, $3.30 FF

Dangers:

5.Aricina  did very well on debut on a fast pace. Drawn to get a good run and be the one Comminique has to run down.

8.Lyn’s Orchid  impressed charging home for third on debut. Will get back as she has little early speed but if they go hard, will be in this.

Race 4

Confidence: 2/5

3.Reliable Miss  battled well fresh up but 1600m will suit better and she will be improved by that last run too. RP $4

Dangers:

1.Dawnlight has run two strong seconds and with a good ride should be in it.

8.Aquila Star  drawn to get all favours and be right in this.

Race 5

Confidence:2/5

2.Take a Gamble  just went down last start after working hard for the first 600m to get 2nd outer and just went down. The offficial time was well out of 1.34.83.It was 1.36.52.   Drawn to lead and be very hard to beat this time.

Dangers:

8.Saigon Hot Night charged late for fourth second up here when late clear and drawn to get a better trip.

1.Bruno Magile  game second fresh up in good speed rating. Fitter this time.

 

Race 6

Confidence:2/5

1.Malo Bik  won very well in good time two back over 1200m. Then last start, led and was run down quite easily in the 150 ,metres. But he was crabbing his way to the line and looked like he was feeling something. If that has been sorted out then he could easily get a soft lead here and be very hard to run down. beat race rival Marietta Lane over 1600m last campaign. RP $3.00

Dangers:

3.Marietta Lane has been given a slight freshener and looks the main danger. Closed off hard late last start after covering ground.

2.Pep Torque back to 1600m will suit from a good draw.

Race 7

Confidence:2/5

7.Aloft  looked good winning on debut and has chosen to start here over Rotorua for the better ground.

Dangers:

1.Ginger Too  looked good winning last start. Drawn to get a good run.

Race 8

Confidence: 2/5

8.Aratoka  did well here last start when she worked 3 wide in the open for the first 600m on a good pace then slotted in 4th one off. She then loomed up and led, but was outfinished by the smart Regal Rock, who did no early work at the back and had too much left late. She stuck on really well for second and the 2000m from the inside draw, on a Dead 4 to 5 track is ideal now. RP $3.80, $5.50 FF

Dangers:

2.Monkey Shoulder  has been looking for more ground as he was a bit one pace last start.

4.Zareeba  won well here last start. This is harder but will gained confidence with that win.

 

 

About Neil Davis

Neil is New Zealand's leading form analyst with particular expertise in the area of horse racing sectional times. He has had a life time interest in racing. The Formpro website first started back in 2008 - 10 years ago!