Randwick April 18 2020 review
The track played fairly with winners on pace, off pace, near the rail and down the centre.
Soft 5 and rail out 7m.
Race replays can be seen here
The sectionals off the front showing tempo, Speed ratings and more here
The sectionals for the meeting can be seen here
Blackbooked runners are in Bold Italics
The tempo favoured the first six runners as they ran the slowest of the three 1200m races to the 600m in 35.74 averaging 11.91 per 200m which was slower than all three 1400m races as well. The 200m from the 600 to the 400 was 11.93 off the front which did the damage as they then sprinted hard from the 400m to the 200m in 11.04 Even taking into account the weaker class, anything that ran on is worth looking at closer. There are some nice horses in this that will also drop back to weaker fields worth watching out for.
The first three home got all favours. Jailbreak came from 11th 3w cover for fifth with a nice run between runners running the fastest last 200m 11.48. Foxie La Belle was held up ( ride queried by stewards) until it was all over and had plenty to offer. Three good runs before that and see how she is placed next up. Luna Mia was back and wide then did the most work to run a good fifth.
This was run at a better tempo -out in 34.95 averaging 11.65 per 200m to the 600, the third fastest all day and home in 34.80, and was the second equal best Speed Rated race of the day, so if anything, it suited off pace runners and there should be some good form to come out of it . Snitz too strong from a wide draw. Can win more as he has the early speed to be on the pace. Jen Rules got a little warm before the race and looked a definite improver and ran a top second.
Trumbull looked very ready to win but just got no favours when caught wide in the open and ran the quickest 200m from the 800-600 in 11.01 and after moving closer, had to weaken in the last 200 metres. Outrageous did very well back and wide with cover running the best spliuts from the 600 to the 200m – beld before this campaign so something to be wary of. So Taken( 4 back inner) was held up and looked to have more to offer closing off in the fastest last 200m in 11.85
The tempo favoured the first half of the field as they ran the slowest sectionals to the 600m of the three 1400m races averging 11.86 per 200m and came home in 35.17, the fourth fastest all day. So for Rubisaki to to win from 8th outer does speak volumes for her will to win as she did look like she was going to get done 100m out. Subpoenaed, who looked very well, looked like she was going to beat Rubisaki but it was no disgrace to get beaten still running the best closing sectionals from the 600m. L200 11.59 Just needs a race with a faster tempo to be very hard to keep out. Rocha Clock was strangely backed right in but if you saw her recent trial, you wouldn’t have touched her at that price. Akari was weak over the last 200 metres and maybe 1200m at this level is her go. St Covet’s Spirit closed off nicely for third and being third up next start will be fitter.
Kinane was a dominant winner after getting every chance 3 back inner . I spent a bit of time analysing his sectionals at his last start at Wyong where he ran the fastest last 200m all day of 11.46 relishing his work, ( The official last 600m was well out) which in the context of the day was excellent and he looked every bit as though he would eat up the 2000m, and that is why I made him a Quality bet, especially with the $2 favourite Quick Thinker being little chance on the firmer ground with his action. When he got out and balanced, he just unleashed and was eased down at the end running his L200 in 11.57, which when compared to Grey Worm’s race over 1200m where they did not go hard, and he ran 11.56 with only Kementari running 11.48 being faster and the fastest all day, tells us he has a turbo under that saddle. When the splits are compared to the Open Group 3 race won by Life Less Ordinary, where they went out 1.73 seconds or 10L slower to the 600 and only came home .44 or around 3L quicker, and he still ran by far the best L200 of any runner in both fields, speaks volumes for his potential. My speed rating of 111 was the second best behind Tofane’s race as well. That is the evidence we need to say this horse is going to win more than one more race! Even James said he gave him the best feel of anything over the whole carnival. He was a Quality bet in the race at $7.50 but some smarties got on at $51 earlier in the week and even $21s after acceptances, so that would have helped the isolation blues a little!
Bottega ran home well but ran about and is still learning, so once he gets that sorted, he will win more races
Entente averaged 12.44 even sectionals and did well to hold on for third
Chuck A Luck, the other saver Quality bet in the race, fought well for fourth- should improvre off that too being his first run over ground in a solidly run race.
Quick Thinker was everybody’s lay of the day and he got out to around $5 from $2. He won the Derby by default, when he was a Quality bet as his three main danger weren’t designed for a testing track and he was. So back in distance on a dry track, with his wet track action, he was just no value.
King’s Legacy was perfectly ridden by Hugh Bowman, and as co trainer Peter Snowden said,” It was a peach of a ride.” The time of 1.36.43 was below average in my speed ratings but they only averaged 12.15 per 200m to the 600m so that can be forgiven for him. Being the only other Quality bet on the day because of his very good Speed Rating last start and he was set for this race, the $2.50 or more was good value. He looks a nice 3yo for more ground next season and may pick up a Guineas along the way. He just has that will to win too. Glenfiddich fought back gamely for second and is a tough front runner. Ole Kirk loomed up 200m out but just didn’t see out the 1600m. Untamed did well after being 3w in the open all the way using petrol up and held on well for fifth. Not An Option ran on nicely late after being held up and past the line- just needs a decent draw and if gets on a left handed track, watch him improve a few lengths. Holyfield blew the start, used up plenty of gas to get 2nd outer but was gone 350m out- complete forgive – good wet track action.
Greysful Glamour averaged a moderate 12.69 per 200m to the 600m so it set up for runners in the first 6 or so in running. She was run down for second and is right at her peak now. She just needs to find another race where she can get a softish lead to be very hard to peg back.
Life Less Ordinary got the ideal run 3 back inner and pounced hard and late to win well. The draw won it for him along with the moderate tempo.
Shared Ambition motored home out wide running his last 200m in 11.65 after drawing wide and snagging. With a better tempo would have won easily. When he gets to 2400m or more, probably next season, he will really be in his element. Chris Waller holds him in the highest regard warning punters to ” Look out for him in the Spring” Yulong Prince was back 3w in the open so did well to finish 7th, running the third fastest last 600m of the race.
The tempo was strong averaging the fastest 200m average to the 600m in 11.53, and was the fastest speed rating by far with 122, so suited off pace runners.
Tofane was given an ideal run by Opie Bosson and just got up in the last stride to beat a game Pierata. It would have been interesting if he had held on as the rider, Tommy Berry, was fined $1,000 and suspended for whipping the horse 9 times before the 100m mark, getting a distinct advantage around 150m when Opie was riding hands and heels. Opie was also fined $1000 for using the whip before the 100m mark. If Pierata had held on you could have easily made a case for gaining a winning advantage with the whip.
Fasika did best of the on pace runners when 2nd outer and fighting well for third. That was a gut busting run so with her great fresh record, she could find something right up her alley in about 4 or 5 weeks time.
Super Seth was slow away and got back but closed off hard and late running the best L600m.
Fierce Impact ran home strongly with his head down for 8th running the third fastest last 200m. His best form is over 1600m and he will be fitter after that five week break- Chris Waller will find the right race for him next up.
Star Of The Seas drew wide and got well back but ran home in the second quickest last 200m out wide in 12.08. Watch out from a better draw next up.
They ran 35.63 (11.88 average 200m ) off the front to the 600m and came home in 34.48, so at this level, it definitely favoured on pace runners.
Greyworm got all favours sliding to the lead and getting a soft time- held on well. Trekking was a bit keen 3w on the moderate tempo and fought well for second- ready to strike third up now. Kementari was a victim of the slowish tempo when held up and charging late. In Her Time checked early and got back but ran home very well from the back and going widest on the turn, running the quickest L600 in 34.41.
Deprive ran home just ok and needs a stronger tempo.
Deep Image got a bit keen when giving way to Grey Worm. Back in class will be harder to beat.
With average 200ms to the 600m mark of 11.57, the second fastest tempo all day, it set up for a back runner.
Ranier was that horse who got that quiet run at the back and drove through late to just get up. Phaistos did well to almost win after being 6th outer in running.
Dealmaker did no work midfield inner and closed off well for third. Military Zone was the run of the race after being back 3w in the open and loomed 200m out and didn’t flinch running a close 5th. Has won 3 from 4 second up so watch out for him.