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Sunday 26 April preview below

Geelong Quaddie

It looks like it pay well if most people’s anchor, Dark Alley in race 6 gets beaten, which he can be. Translator looks the best anchor with La belle Jude for a smaller spend for a saver.

The first three races were won by runners one off or three wide in the running but race 4 was won by a charging runner up the fence.

Two quaddies recommended. Yes paid

$24 spend for 10%

R5   5, 6, 7, 8, 9, 10, 13, 16

R6   3, 5, 7, 11, 13

R7   2, 5, 6, 9, 11, 12

R8  8

Saver with #1 in the last race. $12 for 5%

R5   5, 6, 7, 8, 9, 10, 13, 16
R6   3, 5, 7, 11, 13
R7   2, 5, 6, 9, 11, 12
R8    1

 

Race 5 First leg run at 5 p.m.

The speed map shows not a lot of pace going on up front so should suit runners in the first half in running.

Even race with no standouts so have to go wide.

In order: 9-7-13-5-10-16-8-6

Race 6 second leg

The $2 favourite, 5.Dark Alley 1st and was a class above them has two negatives against it. He hasn’t raced for 6 weeks coming back from a Stronger Group 2 3200m Adelaide Cup, and he has drawn wide and will likely settle back to avoid being caught wide and with a moderate tempo likely, looks too short at $2. His win back here over 1700m he got all favours and ran about and laid in but was ok late. Then in his next win drew 1 , got an ideal run and strode out well to win going away over 2043m on a Good 4 before going to the Adelaide Cup. The plus is the first three races were all won by runners off the fence or wider in running.

7.Castel Sant’angelo 3rd  is very likely to lead and get his own way. Gai Waterhouse is confident of a winning run here,    so has to be in.

11.Big Spur 2n d last start got back when they crawled up front but motored home late for a close 4th. Natural staying action and has raced well in stronger fields. Drawn to land closer and is fitter.

3.Garbhan was strongly backed to win at big odds last start and after leading battled well for fourth. Drops in class for this and will likely be 2nd outer on a moderate tempo and could upset.

13.American In Paris got all favours here last start over 2200m 11 days ago. He travelled like the winner all the way relaxing well and should get into a handy spot behind the leaders from the good draw.

Race 7

Moderate tempo suiting runners in the first half.

Another even leg.

2-5-9 have the ratings to say they can win with good runs, so have to be in.

6, 11 and 12 also rate well.

Race 8

Confidence: 3/5

8.Translator 1st $2.70 qu $7.60 is a good looking athletic galloper.  He looked good using that strength to get up late in a very good speed rating last start over 1600m. Craig Williams knows him well and the 1715m is ideal. Ran a top 4th here in the Geelong Classic in a stronger field than this. Maps to get a good run on pace and off the fence. RP $2.60

Danger:

3.La Belle Jude 2nd $1.70  loves it here and won easily last start in this grade and gets 1.5kgs off. Drawn out so she can be off the fence and on the pace which is where she won from last start.

 

About Neil Davis

Neil is New Zealand's leading form analyst with particular expertise in the area of horse racing sectional times. He has had a life time interest in racing. The Formpro website first started back in 2008 - 10 years ago!