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Sunday preview below

Te Aroha

A big day of racing here but it should be an enjoyable one. Not a day to get serious  though.

Bet of the Day Race 3 7.The Cossack $1.80 FF 1st $1.60

Value bet of the Day Race 5 14.Rising Road $4.80 Ff

Suggested late quaddie $32 for 10%

R8   1, 2, 7, 8, 17
R9    2, 4, 6, 8
R10    2, 3, 8, 9
R11    1, 2, 4, 13

Race 1

Confidence: 3/5

4.Richard Of Yorke  has had a couple of hurdle trials and will be ready to debut over them. Has the best ability on the flat and his main dangers didn’t flatter too much last start. RP $2.20, $2.40 FF

3.Magnanimous Man had his chance here last start but was atired 300m out and struggled ghome for 4th. Top stable for getting jumpers right and should be improved with that.

Race 2

Confidence: 2/5

5.Lothbrook  didn’t seem happy hare last start after getting checked early. Better than that and has good flat ability. Side winkers go on. One for an upset. RP $9, $16 FF

Dangers:

4.Al Haram  ran 4th here last year over hurdles and was right in contention till the last which he hit hard and lost his chance. This time he is in better form and will have been well schooled to have him spot on for this.

Race 3

Confidence: 3/5

7.The Cossack bolted in here last start easing down after hurdling very well. Steps up in grade but nothing to be scared of here. RP $1.80, $1.85 FF

Race 4

Confidence: 3/5

1.Zedman  beat a few of these easily two starts back. Good 3rd in a stronger race last start. The obvious one to beat. RP$1.80, $2.10 FF

Race 5

Confidence: 2/5

14.Rising Road second up was hampered after 600m and got back but motored home for fifth over the 1600m. She looks like she will relish the extra ground. RP $4.50, $5.50 FF

Race 6

Confidence: 1/5

1.All Might strong second fresh up beating a subsequent winner ( 3rd) and was a bit flat second up. Drawn wide which will help and looks the one to hold out. RP $5

Race 7

Confidence: 2/5

2.Lord Painton  looked very good in his trials ands ran a good second here on debut. Has to improve with that and drawn out which should be a plus.

Race 8

Confidence: 2/5

1.Answer Back won his maiden here on a heavy track and has run two nice races in harder fields after a break. Drawn out which should be a plus and drops back in class, so can win this.

2.Ata Rangi two solid seconds and has upside. Fitter now.

17.Moet Molly strong second behind a good horse last start. Nice weight to be the one to run down.

8.Justataste  won well here last start and likes the track and has a wide draw which will suit.

7.Judy’s Song  has to be in quaddies after a strong win here last start.

Race 9

Confidence: 2/5

2.Sailor Jerry ran a very good second here on debut in the fastest of the four 1200m races. Will be fitter for that and being out of a strong Stephen Autridge stable will only be improved by that. Drawn wide and that should be a plus by this time of day. RP $4

Danger:

8.Lady De Winter top run fresh up for second and was caught wide second up. Negative is the low draw so needs  top ride as the inside is likely to be off.

4.Red Inferno  ran on well on debut and the wide draw will help.

6.Matterhorn  looked ready to fire on debut in his trial. Wide draw helps.

Race 10

Confidence: 2/5

9.Fleurisimo ran a top second fresh up to a smart horse. Second up she had to be re-plated before the start and didn’t race kindly and faltered 300m out. May be better right handed and drawn wide to be a decent chance. RP $5

Dangers:

8.Gitcheee Gumee  racing well and if it can get wide enough, is right in it.

2.Thunder  drawn wide and good run fresh up.

3.Jesse James drawn near the inner so will need a top ride to get wider.

Race 11

Confidence: 1/5

13.Movinonbye ran a top 3rd fresh up and last start ran on well over 1400m in s stronger maiden so the step to 1600m looks ideal now. RP $4

Dangers:

1.Peerless Warrior  should be a chance from a wider draw.

4.A’Nood Dude  good run fresh up but inside draw makes it tougher.

2.Judah beaten by a handy horse last start and if he can get wide enough, is a chance.

About Neil Davis

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Neil is New Zealand's leading form analyst with particular expertise in the area of horse racing sectional times. He has had a life time interest in racing. The Formpro website first started back in 2008 - 10 years ago!