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Sunday Specials posted by noon

Good morning,

Sunday Specials now posted here

If you were patient enough to wait for the Sydney bets yesterday you would have probably done ok. Mugatoo looked very hard to beat and was given a 10/10 ride from Kerrin McEvoy as the niggle for me was the inside draw. But he ensured he bounced the best he could and settled 6th outer behind what turned out to be just a moderate tempo averaging 12.60 seconds to the 600m. But you would have seen for yourself, he is just such a powerful long striding bugger, nothing was going to outfinish him in that last 100 metres. I see they are debating which path he should take from here. To my eye, he looks every bit an Epsom winner ( October 3rd Randwick) with the winning light weight he would get on a track that absolutely requires a powerful finisher up that straight. Plus his action says he would be even harder to beat on a Soft track.

Then it was all down to Prime Candidate to top the day off with the quaddie and maybe a multi or two. Tim Clark showed his skills to get him out fast and balanced and soon led. Then he was able to back off to the 600m running 36.28, or 12.09 200ms. Compare that with Anders earlier in the day averaging 11.52 200m to the 600m from the 1100m start, and that is where he won the race. Once he turned in, he kicked strongly and never really looked in danger from there. Wish they all worked out like that!

Many of you got various slices of the $2,363 quaddie for the suggested $21 spend for 50%. If you missed out, I’ll be concentrating on selected Ozzie quaddies with the better tracks coming up. We had a syndicate going from May this year on them with a plan to have fields going in most races to try and snare the one or two big ones, but after having plenty of chances to do that, the favoured runners were getting up. So I decided to stop that a few weeks ago and use the $900 left in the kitty to try and get back our starting bank of $10,760. Yesterday, The GOAT and I chose one each again, Francesca and Cheval Prometteur and they both obliged to get the bank to $3,501. So still a way to go, but another three or four weeks of fluking them could do it. If we can’t find a solid place chance, we will pass, so it is a patience game. Didn’t Cheval Prometteur demolish them and slightly demolish the bookies- he was backed in from $3.50 to $1.90 Ff in the end. Sam Spratt rated him perfectly and got a decent break on the slightly better inside ground on the bend and it was just a procession from there. Having walked the track on Friday, I knew it was going to suit him and almost made him a Quality bet, but there just wasn’t quite enough value in him, and I’m waiting for better surfaces to select those on now anyway – patience they say is a virtue!

Francesca looked to have her chance when second, but I just feel that Sheza Jackkal looked so very fit and ready before the start, that her race fitness advantage was the difference in the end. On Heads Up, The GOAT needs to have a spell on the sports selections more often as he nailed Junior in the Kiwifruit Cup. You would have offered $100 to 1, 500m out, when he was under a ride by Chelsea Burdan, but he showed a great will to win to come back under them and nail My Gift, who I was on!

Anyway, I’ll be spending Monday going through the weekend’s replays and sectionals and add them to the weekly review here.

Any Sunday Specials will be posted by noon today.

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Good luck,


Enquiries to Neil at formpro@formpro.co.nz or text or phone 027 352 6402

About Neil Davis

Neil is New Zealand's leading form analyst with particular expertise in the area of horse racing sectional times. He has had a life time interest in racing. The Formpro website first started back in 2008 - 10 years ago!