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Friday preview below

Update 11.15 a.m. No further bets recommended

Good morning,

I’ll post an update by noon with any Head to Heads or other bets. An early preview of Saturday will be posted by 2 p.m.

 

Otaki

Bet of the Day Race 9 8.Reliable Miss $2.90 1st $2.60

Value bet of the day Race 1 2.Altar Boy $6 FF 3rd $2

Race 1

Confidence: 2/5

2.Altar Boy  will be fitter for that last run over ground at just his second run this campaign. So he has to be fitter for that. He was taken on midrace too which left him vulnerable late. Lisa Allpress sticks with him and he looks like he can get the lead here again and this strong looking 4yo can lead them all the way. Bred to stay being out of a 3 win mare who placed in a Queensland Derby. RP $4.50, $6 FF

Dangers:

1.Vineyard McPhee has run three strong races in a row. He has had plenty of chances though and likely to get back on the fence.

Race 2

Confidence:2/5

7.Lady Woburn  looked good winning her trials and did ok last start in July in a strong form race. Won a recent Levin jumpout with Lisa Allpress on and she sticks with her. RP $3

 

Race 3

Confidence: 2/5

2.Boston Strong Boy looked good pouncing late in his recent trial and is a good looking galloper who won fresh up last campaign over 1400m. This may be too short but with a good tempo likely, he could swamp them late. RP $4

Race 4

Confidence: 2/5

7.Origineel   has gone close on a few occasions. lance Noble has trekked down here and from the good draw, should get every chance with Sam Collett up. RP $4.50

 

Race 6

Confidence:2/6

6.Mogador  won impressively on debut. Then he was caught in the slower ground in the Wanganui Guineas, then ran a good third. Freshened up he looked ready to win after trialing very well winning strongly. The blinkers were on then and stay on today. He has needed the blinkers from the start and has drawn to get an ideal run and be hard to beat. RP $3.50, $4.40 FF

Race 7

Confidence: 2/5

2.Smart Remark  1st $10 ran a nice race over 1200m fresh up. The step to 1400m is ideal and he has shown enough to win a maiden. RP $4.50

Dangers:

3.Wotaripper ran a strong third on debut and 1400m will suit.

4.Hautapu  looked good winning his trial but was looking around a lot. Blinker would have been good to see  go on but Lisa Allpress sticks with him.

11.Scylla  two nice runs and drawn to get all favours.

Race 8

Confidence: 2/5

2.Lady Rudolph  is a nice mare who showed she is ready to win fresh up with a good trial win.

7.Not Santa  two nice runs and ready third up now.

6.Trifolium  needed that fresh up run and drawn to get all favours.

8.Tamahine  won well last start beating a few subsequent winners. Drawn ideally.

Race 9

Confidence:2/5

8.Reliable Miss  just missed last start and the time was faster than the R65 race on the same day. It was run at a decent tempo and third up over 1600m with 2kgs off this time, she will be very hard to hold out. RP $2.50, $2.90 FF

 

Race 10

Confidence:1/5

2.Mr Fabulous  just beaten here last start. A better track will suit.

1.Spijker game second last start. Drawn to get all favours here.

5.Prince Leo  good second to a nice filly fresh up. Gets 3kgs off and peaking.

13.Jane’O  fitter third up and 1600m will suit now with Lisa Allpress up.

 

 

About Neil Davis

Neil is New Zealand's leading form analyst with particular expertise in the area of horse racing sectional times. He has had a life time interest in racing. The Formpro website first started back in 2008 - 10 years ago!