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Thursday preview below

Hastings

A tricky day with not a lot of strong recent form to go by.

Bet of the day Race 6 17.Providenceprovides $3.20 Ff 1st $2.30

Value bet of the day Race 8 9.Bellesgirl $4.20 FF 3rd $1.90 

Race 1

Confidence: 2/5

10.Astradeel  ran a top third here over 1400m running the best closing sectionals of the race. The second and 4th horses have since won. Last start in a stronger $50k field of 3yos at Ellerslie, he got back on the fence in an on pace race and couldn’t get out when he wanted and had to stick to the rail. He hit the line strongly in the second fastest last 200 metres. The side winkers go on and there looks to be good early speed out wide and midfield, so in the big field, there should be enough pace on for him to work his way into it and get over these. RP $3, $3.20 FF

Danger:

4.Establishment ran home strongly in both of his runs and will be fitter for this. Gets 23kgs off.

Race 2

Confidence: 2/5

7.Deel’s Done ran on well last start running the second fastest closing sectionals on the tighter track over 1800m. The blinkers go on and the step to 2100m looks ideal. Danielle Johnson jumps on too which is of course a tick. RP $4, $4.60 FF

Race 4

Confidence: 2/5

5.Tamahine is a nice mare who goes well fresh. Drawn to get a winning run and be a nice ew chance.

Race 5

Confidence: 1/5

16.Jahzara may not have won but would have been second with a clear run on debut. Well bred and looks the best chance.

15.Parisian Poppy hasn’t had much luck in running in her last two runs. Gets 4kgs off again and can win with a better run.

8.Milk Power two solid thirds and fitter now.

Race 6

Confidence: 2/5

17.Providenceprovides used up petrol on debut to lead and was run down by some smart horses. Drawn well and strikes a weak lot. RP $3, $3.40 Ff

15.Tellme You Loveme nice run on debut and looked an improver. Drawn ideally.

3.Newstalk good run on debut and flat second up. Could surprise with a  freshener.

7.Annalone ran her best race here behind the handy Kiwianna over ground. Fresh and trailed well.

Race 7

Confidence: 2/5

12.Neon Moon good fifth off a tough run in a harder field last start. This is much easier and peaking third up. RP $4.50

Dangers:

7.Tar And Cement looked good bolting away in his trial in the second fastest time over 1300m. Drawn to get a good run and is ready to fire on debut.

10.Capital Expense obvious chance after two strong placings but has a wide draw to overcome.

3.Arklow will be improved by that fresh up fourth and drawn well.

Race 8

Confidence: 2/5

9.Bellesgirl goes well fresh. Ran a strong second fresh here behind Ranger and 2nd on debut here. Won here over 1400m and drawn to get a good run. RP $3.50, $4.20 FF

Dangers:

12.Rocknopop was a bit unlucky last start when held up for a few strides then closed off well late. Won here over 1200m.

2.The Villain good win last start and looks a progressive type.

7.Yourpoint no go fresh up on wet ground. Better surface suits and drawn to get all favours.

 

 

 

 

 

 

About Neil Davis

Neil is New Zealand's leading form analyst with particular expertise in the area of horse racing sectional times. He has had a life time interest in racing. The Formpro website first started back in 2008 - 10 years ago!