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Derby Day preview posted

Good morning,

A terrific day of racing at Ellerslie with the full preview here.

Pris De Fer looks the obvious one in the first but 9.5kgs is a sigificant weight advantage so maybe the handy Initiative could upset him coming off his back.

Race 1

The speed map shows a moderate to even tempo.

Confidence: 2/5 in a tricky race.

8.Initiative will relish a slow 7 track more than most here. Has won twice fresh up and gets in on 52kgs, almost 10kgs over the favourite. RP $4.50, $5.50 FF

Dangers:

2.Pris De Fer  is fresh up and drawn wide with 61.5kgs so it is hard to take the $2.30 with a lot of confidence. Very good horse though and has won on a Slow 7 track.

5.Cha Siu Bao  won well here last start. All form is on Dead and better tracks though. May just get away with it though having first use as he is a good horse on a very good weight.

3.Rays In Command  right handed is a query and a slow track is not what he prefers.

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Good luck,

Neil

Enquiries to Neil at formpro@formpro.co.nz or text or phone 027 352 6402

 

About Neil Davis

Neil is New Zealand's leading form analyst with particular expertise in the area of horse racing sectional times. He has had a life time interest in racing. The Formpro website first started back in 2008 - 10 years ago!