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Wednesday preview below

Ruakaka Four winners on top from the 8 races.

Good morning,

Some average fields today but a couple of very well place runners. No Quality bets but some subscribers have asked for suggested bets so I have mentioned those in some races.

Bet of the day Race 1 1.Doubtful Sound $1.65 FF 1st $1.50 

Value bet of the Day Race 8 2.Outage $3.90 FF 5th with tactics that didn’t work out

Multi of the day with the two above.

Best Eachway chance Race 4 6.Lambo $8.50 and $2.50

Race 1

Confidence: 3/5 Suggested bet multi with Outage in Race 8 $10 returns $64.30

1.Doubtful Sound really close off strongly on debut over 1100m and with that run under his belt plus the extra 100m, will be ideal for this good looking two year old. RP $1.80, $1.65 FF

Race 2

Confidence: 2/5 Suggested bet 1 unit a win Dottie Dee

5.Dottie Dee  did very well second up to work hard for the lead and just went down. She is a nice looking filly who should be spot on to win now and if Leith Innes can give her a good run, she looks very hard to beat. RP $2.50, $2.80 FF

Danger:

9.Mini Miner  did well after missing the jump. Drawn wide and needs luck.

Race 3

Confidence:1/5 Suggested bet- no bet.

2.Side Eye 1st $5.80  has been running strong races without much ;luck. Drawn to get all favours from the good draw and looks the one to beat. RP $3.50, $3.90 FF

Race 4

Confidence:2/5 Suggested bet 1 unit eachway on Lambo

6.Lambo  did very well fresh up when wide all the way on an even tempo and stuck on gamely for fourth. Drawn to land in a winning spot and her action says a better track will suit. RP $5

Race 5

Confidence:2/5 Suggested bet 1 unit eachway on Taumalolo plus the suggested quaddie.

8.Taumalolo  will relish more ground. Unlucky last start when he travelled well to the turn and was blocked twice when looking like he had a lot to offer.  Drawn ideally with Opie up. RP $4 $5.50 Ff

Dangers:

13.Heart Of A Lion  had a bit to offer two starts back but was held up. May need a wet track to show her best but may get away with it here.

1.Cleverconversation  ran on strongly last start over 2200m after being held up. Had a good draw then and drawn out here so has to do more work.

3.Jojaakk game second here two starts back. No go on a heavy track last start. Just needs a good run with 3kgs off.

11.Incy Wincy Spider good second two starts back on a Dead track and 3rd was Sympathique a subsequent winner. No go on a heavy track last start. gets 3kgs off.

Race 6

Confidence: 1/5 Suggested bet is hopefully you are still alive in the quaddie so just watch that in an open race.

2.Oso Savvy 1st $3.20  has always looked like he will relish more ground and gets the right draw and rider to make a success of it at his first go. RP $4

Dangers:

6.Sympathique led all the way here last start over 1600m. Stays in the same grade and with only 55.5kgs, could do it again if Shocking penny doesn’t ruin both their chances by taking her on.

12.Alexandrite  has been running good races in stronger R65 fields and rating well. Gets 2kgs off and just needs a good run to be a chance.

1.Landgrave  fitter third up and drawn to get a good run. Has won on a Good track.

Race 7

Confidence: 1/5 Suggested bet is hopefully you are still alive in the quaddie so just watch that in an open race.

7.Excitonic  1st $4.90 won second up and looked in need of the Hastings run . Opie jumps on from a good draw.

4.Semper Fi  did well to win here last start. Can step up against an average R65 field.

8.Laurant  back to 1400m third up suits better

5.The Buffer third up and out to a more suitable 1400m

Race 8

Confidence:3/5 Suggested bet 2 units a win

2.Outage  two starts back ran a top second when leading and was run down late in slightly better time than the R65 field the same day. Then last start here drew wide, began well but couldn’t cross the leader who led all the way. He wanted to lay in as well so it was a good effort. This time, he has drawn the inside, the visor blinkers go off and blinkers go on. The only other runner likely to have a go at the lead is Castle Bay who should be content to sit 2nd outer as I’m sure the instructions to rider Leith Innes will be short and sweet.  “Lead and make sure you are still there at the winning post!” he needs a strong rider like Leithal and he strikes a weak maiden field. $2.80, $3.90 FF

Dangers:

1.Abu Dhabi  has a high knee action suited to a heavy track and a fast run race on a  drier track. He does get both here so hard to see him beating Outage home in a sprint home.

About Neil Davis

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Neil is New Zealand's leading form analyst with particular expertise in the area of horse racing sectional times. He has had a life time interest in racing. The Formpro website first started back in 2008 - 10 years ago!