Firstly, the preview of Cambridge is here.
Last week we had a good run of collects. Some nice returns on multis and a few made a bundle off value bet of the day at Te Rapa, The Bounder, at around $7.50. I’m doing my best to avoid races that favour the bookies, but am aware that some subscribers, especially on a Saturday, just want to see my thoughts on most races.
I got an earful from one subscriber for not previewing Trentham, and it was probably justified if you wanted to have a few bets there for an interest. But the view I take is, after years of experience of backing many losers, is that there are plenty of other options besides trying to make money off a very heavy track where it is very hard to have much confidence in any race. As it turned out, we would have done quite well, but we could just have easily lost our hard earned. So if horses win in those track conditions, that I did like, it just doesn’t worry me as I know long term, you do much better on the punt avoiding them. Some say they do ok on them, and good luck to them because you need plenty of doses of that even on better tracks!
It is the same at Cambridge today. The bookies have been cleaning up in most races there so far. It is not a track you can punt on with strong confidence, just yet anyway. Experienced riders like Craig Grylls and Lynsey Satherley lead the way with 5 wins each on the track. maybe that is a sign that it takes a good judge of tempo and knowing your horse, that is making a difference. But it will take a lot more meetings before we can assume anything like that.
Below are two nicely placed runners that should get the right runs and well placed to win or go close to it. I’ll post an update by 10.30 a.m. with any Head to Heads or other bets.
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