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Monday preview below

Ashburton

Ten races but some good stakes and nice horses going round.

Bet of the Day Race 5 2.Supreme Khan $2.50 FF

Value bet of the day Race 6 1.Vee Twelve $8 FF

Suggested late quaddie for $14.40 for 10% Yes Paid $763

R7   6, 7

R8   1, 3, 7, 11, 13, 14

R9   2, 4, 5

R10   2, 3, 5, 9

 

Race 1

2.Original Gangster 1st $3 rates on top here on a Good track. He should get a good run and is looking for more ground now. 4.Queen Sweep obvious danger at the weights but will get back in a slowly run race.

Race 2

Very even with the top 4 in betting all chances.

4.Captain  nice horse probably looking for more ground but if they go hard enough, can do it.2.Burnvue  close second at Riccarton beating Captain. Nice horse. 3.Committment  has shown he can win at least a maiden. Ideally drawn to make it today. 5.Cutting Edge 1st $4 beaten by a bad draw and tough run last start.

Race 3

1.Noble Knight ran a strong second last campaign in a good speed rating and form race. And has been given a good break. Nice looking galloper and drawn to get all favours. 10.Dioradelle 1st $4.70  big second here last start but gets back which is a negative here.

Race 4

Confidence: 2/5

5.Art De Triomphe 1st $2.50   is a good galloper with a nice action. He beat Mackenzie Lad at Riccarton over 1000m. Negative is the draw but with decent run can beat these fresh up. Watch any significant market moves for a good guide on her. RP $3.50

Race 5

Confidence: 3/5 very average 4th 

2.Supreme Khan  in his first trial was never let go to run a close 4th in a very strong field. Then in his second trial got back and once again was never let go on the heavy track. Those should have him fit enough to beat these. Very good horse who maps to be in behind an even pace and be very hard to beat. RP $2.20, $2.50 FF

Race 6

Confidence: 2/5

1.Vee Twelve drops back to R65 class with 3kgs off and should get an uncontested lead. He can run time and is a nice chance to lead all the way, especially if leaders are winning. RP $5, $8 FF

Race 7

7.Our Girl Gilly rates equally on top here with the 3kgs off. Drawn to get every chance and with $40k up, will be on the job. 6.Miss Tycoon Rose 1st $3   is the obvious danger. Market movements will give a good guide in this.

Race 8

14.Take A Risk  did very well when working hard during the running and still held second. Drawn to do less work so has to be hard if she has overcome that hard run. 11.Can’t Say Enough  won fresh up last campaign and after two nice trials from a good draw, has to be in quaddies. 1.Street Fightin’ Man 1st $5   drawn to get all favours. 3.Bolt From The Blue  got back into winning form last start. Needs a top ride but can win again if he gets it.

Race 9

4.Leaderboard  should get a nice trail here and on a Good track may just have the edge over the two favoured runners. Two trials to get him ready and he goes well over 1600m. 2.Tappys One 1st $4   is a query on a good track but in such good form he could do it this time. 5.The Growler  nicely weighted and on a good track could get up.

Race 10

3.Hunter Villain 1st $8 quaddie $763   ran a game 3rd here off a tough run. Drawn to get all favours and a Good track will suit. 5.Sacred Giant  impressive fresh up but drawn to do extra work up in grade in a big field. 9.Miss Curios with a good run is capable of being right in this. Can run time. 2.Jin Lu freshened up and goes well that way.

 

 

 

About Neil Davis

Neil is New Zealand's leading form analyst with particular expertise in the area of horse racing sectional times. He has had a life time interest in racing. The Formpro website first started back in 2008 - 10 years ago!