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Saturday 11 September preview below

Some very tough races in NZ with the wet tracks and many fresh up runners in the market. Flemington has some very good horses racing and there are four that look very well placed.

Bet of the day Kembla Grange Race 6 4.Entriviere $2.10 1st $2.40

Value bet of the Day Flemington Race 6 14.Turaath $4 FF 1st $4.80 and got out to $6 FF

Other good value bet Flemington Race 8 3.Keiai Nautique $12 and $3.60 Ff

Raymond, who won the $20 Heads Up comp this week has Entriviere $2.10 and Turaath $4 to return $168 yes

Kembla Grange

Race 6

Confidence: 3/5 1st $2.40

4.Entriviere is a very fast mare as we know from NZ. Her times and sectionals that she has run shows that she is right up to beating these and from the good draw. Her recent trial here where she shared the pace and attacked the line late without being let go shows she is ready to win. McDonald should be able to give her every chance. RP $1.80, $2.10 FF


Race 2

Confidence: 4/5

1.Artorius  really hit the line stylishly late fresh up in top sectionals. he is a very good horse and 1400m is ideal here. Just needs a quiet run with cover and should beat these comfortably. RP $1.60, $1.50 FF and should pay more closer to start time.

Race 5

Confidence: 4/5

2.Ayrton is a very good horse who can run time. He should get an ideal run and be too good for these again. RP $1.50, $1.50FF and should pay more closer to start time.

Race 6

Confidence: 3/5 1st $4.80

14.Turaath  won really well for us last start in very good time. She gets an advantage over Instant Celebrity in that she should either lead or be on it while she will be back and probably wide. Plus she gets 4kgs off her and can run time. RP $3.00, $4 FF

Race 8

Confidence: 2/5

3.Keiai Nautique 

His last review comment read:

‘The way he charged the line out wide in the best last 200m of 11.20, which was quicker than any of the sprinters in Fituese’s race, shows that he is for a strong campaign. He has won in very fast time in Japan over 1600m in 1.32.80!’

The bigger track will suit and with a good run with cover, has that long straight to get over these. RP $7, $12 and $3.60 FF

New Plymouth

Race 7

Confidence: 2/5 2nd $2.60

15.Brucie  two starts back put in a huge late finish after being scrubbed up well out, to almost get up. Then last start, had a nice clean up for this as it seems an obvious target race for him. Will get back and be scrubbed up to catch them well out, but over 3210m, they will be stopping up front, so he should find it ideal with a nice weight. RP $5, $8FF

Race 8

Confidence:2/5 1st $5 

10.Zeefa Zed has won well here on a heavy track and did ok last start with 61.5kgs on an unsuitable better ground. This time he drops to 52,kgs which the horse is really going to notice. Good eachway chance. RP $5, $6 FF

About Neil Davis

Neil is New Zealand's leading form analyst with particular expertise in the area of horse racing sectional times. He has had a life time interest in racing. The Formpro website first started back in 2008 - 10 years ago!