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Saturday preview posted

Good morning,

Update here with two nice head to head bets

Favourites Folly

Favourites get beaten around 70% of the time so if you can find the ones that do get beaten, you can make a lot of money. Either through laying them on the exchanges or backing another horse or horses in the race to beat them at decent value.

So lets take a look at today’s favourites to see the reasons they can get beaten.

Matamata Favourites Folly

Race 1 Lily D’Or $2.70 was on the minimum last start here when winning and now jumps to 4kgs over it. Will need to do more work from the draw.

Race 2 1.Order To Charge $2.20  on debut on a heavy track with an action more suitable for a better track.

Race 3 4.Mustang Valley second up off a hard run. 4th at only start at 1400m. May land behind midfield off a moderate tempo.

Race 4 14.Super Six action says a better track is needed. Second up.

Race 5 2.Shoshone $2.20 Hasn’t won in 7 starts this campaign. Goes up 5.5kgs from last start.

Race 6 6.Hot Pinx $3.60  best distance has been 1600m. Second up. Wide draw no help.

Race 7 3.Frontman $3.50  Best form on better surfaces.

Race 8 2.Cherry Lane $2.70 Goes up 3.5kgs from last start win here. Got all favours last start.

Race 9  11.Dance ‘N’ Sing steps up to a middle distance first time.

Hawera Favourites Folly

Race 1 8.Amathusia $1.90 : 10 starts for no wins. Second up. Likely to get back on inner.

Race 2 5.Nod Of The Head $3.60: Up in class. Going from 1300m to 1600m. Rates 10th ( finished 11th) after weight adjustments in the Formpro ratings. Maps to land 7th outer in a moderate tempo race. Update after track re-rated to a heavy 10 1.10 p.m. Slow 9 to heavy track won’t suit his action.

Race 3 1.Durham Lad $3.60 Goes from 2kg over the minimum in same class race to 5kgs over. Unplaced on a slow 9 and heavy 10. Got all favours last start win. Second up and beaten in last two campaigns in that state.

Race 4 4.Macushla $3  had her chance last start in an easier field when run down late. 15 starts since last win.

Race 5 7.Trosettee $5.50  35 days since last start so race fitness a query. Inexperienced 4kgs claiming apprentice. Drawn 7 after drawing well last start getting all favours.

Race 6 2.Yeaboi $4 drawn wide and will need luck. 3yo against older experienced horses. Rider has low strike rate and 10 rides since last win.

Race 7 14.Bellaconte $3.60 3yo filly against tough mares. May land behind midfield inner and need luck to get out in time.

Race 8 1.Mauna Loa $4.20 steps up to a middle distance for the first time. Wide draw with 3kg apprentice on with low strike rate.

The Saturday preview is posted here with an update by noon. A nice return for subscribers yesterday here

The best bets are in Australia and every race in NZ is previewed.

You can login with username Formpro and the new password can be heard by calling 0900 36 76 7  ( 0900 FORMPRO )  for a cost of $10 which will last till next Thursday night. Or you can subscribe here with Credit Card or direct banking into ANZ 01-0677-0114026-00

Some users, instead of ringing the 0900 36767 number now like to deposit $10 into my Bank account ANZ 01-0677-0114026-00 and then text me for the Formpro current and new password which will last till next Thursday night, which can be done easily.


Good luck,


Enquiries to Neil at formpro@formpro.co.nz or text or phone 027 352 6402

About Neil Davis

Neil is New Zealand's leading form analyst with particular expertise in the area of horse racing sectional times. He has had a life time interest in racing. The Formpro website first started back in 2008 - 10 years ago!