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Saturday 12 February preview below

Good morning,

Some very good racing in both countries today. Levante looks the best bet to me on a slow track now and Four Queens should handle a slow track well. Three well placed good confidence bets at Randwick plus a suggested quaddie at Caulfield.

Good luck,

Neil

 

Caulfield late quaddie $10 for 10%
R6   12468
R7   1248
R8   137811
R9   1

Te Rapa late quaddie for $8.10 for 10%

R7   1311
R8   567
R9   7
R10   12691011121314

Te Rapa 

Bet of the day Race 9 7.Levante $2.50 Ff’ 1st $2.70 

Value bet of the day Race 8 5.Four Queens $8 FF

Race 1

Confidence: 2/5

10.Rising Storm  just keeps on improving and on 52kgs looks nicely placed to get over these. Two solid seconds here from two starts. RP $4, $4.50 FF

Race 2

Confidence:2/5

4.One More Time  rates clearly on top here. She ran a top third over 1400m last start and back to 1200m looks ideal. Trudy Thornton will suit her and she can lead or sit 2nd outer and be the one to beat. RP $3.50, $3.80Ff

Race 3

Confidence:3/5

7.Maven Belle 1st $1.80 was a dominant winner and was travelling like the winner well out. From the inside draw, Opie will give her a winning run so she does look the one to beat. RP $2.00, $2.10 Ff

Race 4

Confidence:2/5

8.Cool Change  1st $7.00 was a strong winner two starts back and made up nice ground in a stronger field last start. With a clean beginning, she can lead or trail and from there, with the nice weight, is a solid eachway chance. RP $5, $8 FF

Race 5

Confidence:2/5

1.Giant Gem  looked in need of the run last start second up and ran a close fourth in a strong field. Peaking now and should get an ideal run in behind the leaders and with 2kgs off, is a decent chance of upsetting the favourites. Rates on top in the Formpro ratings. RP $8, $13 FF

Race 6

Confidence:2/5

4.Princess Lowry  just went down to Self Obsession two starts back off a tough run. Was caught wide over 1600m last start and drawn to get a better run this time. Good eachway chance. RP $8, $13 FF

Race 7

The speed map shows The Chosen One, Vernanme, Tiptronic and The Mayor going forward with a moderate to even tempo likely suiting runners in the first half of running.

Confidence: 3/5

1.The Chosen One  is the best performed runner in this by a couple of lengths. Bolted in at Trentham and 2000m will suit better and any rain is ok. RP $2.00, $2.10 FF

Dangers:

3.Tiptronic  could get a soft lead and if the inside is ok, could steal it.

11.Coventina Bay  if the inside is off, could get a nice track into it and can unleash a fast last 200m when saved for it.

Race 8

Confidence:2/5

5.Four Queens   has been rating strongly in good fields. She has had a freshen up for this and goes well that way. Drawn to get a good run off the pace and get out into the better ground. RP $6, $8 Ff

Dangers:

6.Image of You  drawn to get all favours and be hard to beat if inside is ok.

7.Samiam Seussie won really well last start and can step up.

Race 9

The speed map shows an even speed suiting all runners. The inside my be off so see how the day pans out.

Confidence:3/5

7.Levante 1st $2.70  showed her determination to win last start when she just put her head down and gave it everything. She does look better left handed and 1400m I feel is her best distance. She maps to land behind midfield which will be ideal as they are likely to be coming out wider to win. RP $1.90, $2.50 FF

Race 10

Confidence:2/5

13.Felicienne  looks nicely placed here. She has an above average turn of foot and from the wide draw, Opie can ensure he just gives her cover as the inside should be off. From there, with a good track into it, she will be very hard to keep out. RP $3.80, $4.50 FF

Dangers:

9.Superette  is a progressive horse and drawn to get a winning run if the inside is ok.

Randwick

Race 1

Confidence: 3/5

2.Metallicity has looked very impressive in his trials and is a terrific mover/ From a top stable and should be very, very hard to beat. RP $1.80, $2.00

Race 4

Confidence:3/5

1.Delexo  is ready to win fresh up based on his strong trial win. He can run fast time and sectionals and he should get a winning run from the good draw with James McDonald up, where the favourite will have to do extra work. RP $2.20, $2.70 FF

Race 7

Confidence:4/5

8.Espiona is one out of the box. Very impressive in her two runs last campaign and the way she ran on for third alongside Nature Strip in a recent trial under a hold, indicates she has only got better which is scary!! Drawn wide but all that ahs done has bumped the price up. RP $1.30, $1.50 FF

About Neil Davis

Neil is New Zealand's leading form analyst with particular expertise in the area of horse racing sectional times. He has had a life time interest in racing. The Formpro website first started back in 2008 - 10 years ago!