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Friday 25 March preview below

Hawera 

Good morning. Some open races today. Battle Secret looks the best bet. And depending on how the track is playing, Tenzing in the last if they are coming from the back to win, should be hard to beat.

Bet of the day Race 1 1.Battle Secret $2.20 FF 1st 

Value bet of the day Race 8 2.Tenzing $4.20 FF

Multi of the day Battle Secret and Tenzing to win. $10 returns approximately $99

Suggested quaddie for $33.60 for 10%

R5   3569101116
R6   135121418
R7   3469
R8   26

Race 1

Confidence:3/5

1.Battle Secret  is a big striding horse who did very well last start second up at his first go over ground this campaign. He got pushed 3 wide in the open midrace, worked to get a bit closer wider on the turn and kept closing hard for second and ran the best last 200m in 11.96. So with natural improvement from a good draw, he should get a better run and be much harder to hold out. He maps to get a good run on the pace. RP $2.40, $2.20 FF

Race 5 1st leg of the quaddie

Confidence:1/5

6.Vishaka 1st  racing strongly and just needs an outside bias and a good ride from the wide draw. RP $5

There are a few!

In order: 16-3-5-2-10-11

Race 6

Confidence:2/5

12.Hasstobefast 1st  ran a top second last start second up and looks the obvious one. But drawn wide and will need to do extra work. Just depends on any bias and the run she gets. RP $2.80

Dangers:

In order: 3-1-5-11-14

Race 7

Confidence:2/5

4.Sophisticado has been racing in harder fields and rating well. He should find this easier and be the one to beat. RP $4

Dangers:

In order: 6-9-3

Race 8

Confidence:2/5

2.Tenzing had to be good to win at Riccarton when got well back, used petrol to get handy wider then led. He showed a will to win when challenged as well. Fresh up he got back at Otaki but closed off very well in the best last 400m and 200m. Nice galloper and with an even tempo likely, should get enough pressure up front to get over these, especially if they are coming wider to win.

Danger:

6.La Flora Bella  won easily last start and looks a progressive type. Drawn to get a good spot near the pace and be the one Tenzing has to hunt down.

 

About Neil Davis

Neil is New Zealand's leading form analyst with particular expertise in the area of horse racing sectional times. He has had a life time interest in racing. The Formpro website first started back in 2008 - 10 years ago!