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Hawera track bias and Wednesday preview

Good morning.

A good day on Monday with two out of the three suggested bets winning well. Today there are three well placed bets here and a suggested late quaddie. An update will be posted by noon if there are any further bets like Head to Heads.

With the wet tracks upon us now, studying how the track last played in similar conditions is always helpful. Walking it the day before or even on the morning of the races, is also a very good way of seeing how it may play. At the last meeting here at Hawera on March 25 on a similar Heavy 8 track where they were running 1.13 to 1.14 for 1200m, they were winning near the fence then coming away from the fence by race 5 where Vishaka and the second horses came from back and wide. But in race 8, La Flora Belle drew 1 , trailed off the rail, came wider and won easily. So as long as you are fit and good enough, you can win from anywhere here.

Race 1 is an intriguing race with the tempo likely to be a major factor in the outcome.

The speed map shows He’s Ric likely to get an uncontested lead.

Confidence:2/5 in a race where the moderate tempo could be the main factor in the outcome.

1.Bak Da Master  last start second up had to move early wide in the open then was taken wider on the turn. He kept up a solid gallop to run an improver’s third. He maps to get out and get 2nd outer on a moderate tempo which will be ideal. With 3kgs off and Mark Walker really making his mark with getting horses to peak strongly, third up on the flat with 3kgs off, he ticks a few boxes here. RP $2.80, $3.80FF

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Good luck,

Neil

Enquiries to Neil at formpro@formpro.co.nz or text or phone 027 352 6402

About Neil Davis

Neil is New Zealand's leading form analyst with particular expertise in the area of horse racing sectional times. He has had a life time interest in racing. The Formpro website first started back in 2008 - 10 years ago!