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Saturday preview below

Update 12.07 pm Friday. Next update by 9 a.m. Saturday

Good morning.

Bet of the day Rotorua 3 4.Aris Aris $2.80 FF ( Up to $50 back as Bonus bet ) 2nd $1.70 

Value bet of the Day Rotorua Race 7 9.Finest Wine $5.50 FF 3rd $2

Multi of the Day Aris Aris to win ( put bet on as FF win bet first ) If she wins into Finest Wine Top 3 at $2.10 FF $10 returns $58.80 ( If she runs 2nd, 3rd or 4th, the Bonus bet goes on Finest Wine Top 3 ) Yes with the Bonus back offer

Suggested late quaddie at Rotorua for $30 for 10%

R6   127
R7   1469
R8   135710
R9   19101820

Rotorua

Race 2

Confidence:2/5

7.Bit Nosy  worked for the first half of the race here last start and went down fighting for second. Drawn to get a better run and with Wiremu Pinn riding in top form, should be hard to beat. RP $4, $4.50 FF

Race 3

Confidence:3/5

4.Aris Aris  relished the extra ground last start and after getting a good run was just too good in a good speed rating. Shoukld be even fitter now and drawn to get a winning run and be hard to beat again.

Race 5

Confidence:2/5

1.Calpurnia 1st $4.20  is is very hard to ignore her 4 win from 5 starts here. She gets in on a winning weight and maps to either lead or sit 2nd outer and with not a lot of pressure, she can make it 5 from 6. RP $3.00, $3.50 FF

Race 6

Confidence:2/5

7.Leaderboard ran a very good second last start when hitting the lead well out and was run down late. A solidly run 2200m suits nicely and drawn to get a winning run with a winning weight. RP $3.70, $4.20 FF

Dangers:

2.Sinarahma  is an obvious chance but she maps to get back on the inner which is not the best place to be here especially if the inside is off.

1.Big Mike if the leaders are winning then he has to be a realistic chance.

Race 7

Confidence:2/5

9.Finest Wine 3rd $2  has looked nice in her first three runs back and definitely looks like she will relish more ground now. Won over 2200m at Trentham and is a nice eachway chance. RP $4.00, $5.50 FF

Dangers:

1.Logan’s Logic He is drawn to get an ideal run and is capable of winning.

4.Ilaanbaatar showed good fight to win here last start. Has to be a chance if he can get a top ride.

6.Late To The Party almost won here last start and looks like 2200m will suit.

Race 8

Confidence:2/5

1.Mai Tai rates clearly on top here after weight adjustments. Drops out of a much stronger field and ran a top second at Trentham over 1600m. Drawn out but if the inside is off, which it is likely to be, it may an advantage being out there. RP $3.80, $4.80 FF

Dangers:

5.Francesca 1st $7 based on her trial one she has to be in quaddies . She looks ready to win again.

3.Jodelin Girl is a nice mare who goes well fresh and here.

7.Oselata is a very good mare and 1400m will suit her now.

10.Illumination won well fresh up and with a perfect run can win.

Race 9

Confidence:1/5

20.Dancing Sands won strongly here last start and looks progressive. RP $5

Dangers:

1.Mister Roquette  very good second at Avondale and right in this.

10.Kool Choux  won second up last campaign and improver’s run fresh up.

9.Call Me Evie was a close 4th here last start. Should get a better run this time.

18.Last Resort  fitter now and was in the wrong place last start. Nice horse.

Hawera

Race 8

Confidence:2/5

4.Pep Torque 2nd  ran a top race last start after finally getting a decent run. This is a weaker field and he should get an ideal run here. Odd shower is forecast which should be ok as he prefers Soft 6 or better. RP $4.00, $5 Ff

Race 9

Confidence:2/5

8.Tramore  has run two top seconds doing extra work. With a patient ride this time she can beat these. RP $4.50, $5.50FF

 

About Neil Davis

Neil is New Zealand's leading form analyst with particular expertise in the area of horse racing sectional times. He has had a life time interest in racing. The Formpro website first started back in 2008 - 10 years ago!