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Saturday preview below

Good morning. Some good racing today. I’m very keen on Vespacian at excellent value to win at Trentham. Tokyo Tycoon is a certainty ( Famous last words). Clever Ruds can lead all the way. Prowess is perfectly weighted and maps to get the right run. Lincoln King can upset the favourites if they are off their game or the distance finds them out. If there are any Head to Head or other bets worth taking, I’ll post the update by 12.30 p.m.

Bet of the Day Trentham Race 4 7.Vespacian $4 FF now $3.60 FF 3rd $1.60

Value Bet of the Day Pukekohe Race 4 3.Clever Ruds $5 FF 4th

Multi of the Day Trentham Race 4 7.Vespacian $3.60, Pukekohe Race 5 1.Tokyo Tycoon $1.35, Race 8 8.Prowess $2.40 FF  $10 returns $116.60 2/3

Fun multi: $100,000 multi for $10- recommend taking two x $5 bets in case you want to cash out in the last leg if we get that far.

Tokyo Tycoon 1st
@1.35
FFWIN
Pukekohe Race 5
Prowess 1st
@2.40
FFWIN
Pukekohe Race 8
Vespacian 3rd
@3.60
FFWIN
Trentham Race 4
Lincoln King Missed
@10.00
FFWIN
Pukekohe Race 9
Clever Ruds 4th
@5.00
FFWIN
Pukekohe Race 4
Insatiable 2nd
@2.70
FFWIN
Pukekohe Race 2
Ciambella 2nd
@6.50
FFWIN
Trentham Race 5
7 Leg Multix1
Total Stake:$5.00
Potential Return$51,175.80

Recommended quaddie at Pukekohe for 10% for $28.80

R7   257101213
R8   8
R9   1313
R10   123567891011121314171819

Trentham

Race 4

The speed map shows Vespacian leading and setting his own rules.

Confidence:3/5

7.Vespacian ran a top race last start in a very good race time. She only has to race up to that and with the 3kgs off, looks very likely to lead all the way. RP $2.20, $4.00 FF

Race 5

Confidence:2/5

7.Ciambella is nicely placed here. She should lead and with the light weight, has an each way chance of kicking clear and placing or winning. RP $5 $6.50 FF

 

Pukekohe

Race 1

Confidence:2/5

2.Double O’Seven won well two back and ran on well last start over 1600m. He is a natural stayer and has drawn ideally in one. Michael McNab stays with him and he should get every chance. RP $3.40, $4

Race 2

Confidence:3/5

4.Insatiable won really well last start beating Paul David who won well next up. He will get back form the wide draw and with a nice track into it with Opie up, he will be very hard to hold out. RP $2.50, $3 FF

Race 4

Confidence:3/5

3.Clever Ruds looks an uncontested leader here and when he gets that she is a very hard mare to run down. The set weights suit her as well. RP $3,40, $5 FF

Race 5

Confidence:5/5

1.Tokyo Tycoon wins! Classes above these. RP $1.05, $1.35FF

Race 7

Confidence:1/5

An open race with many chances. In order: 7-12-2-10-5-13

Race 8

Confidence:3/5

8.Prowess should sit outside, the leader,  La Crique,  with 52kgs and be able to dictate terms to her. With the weight advantage over her and the rest, she has the credentials and weight to win. RP $2.20, $2.40 FF

Dangers:

7.La Crique looks the likely leader and should get a soft lead with Prowess sitting outside her, not likely to force the issue. In a sprint home, she is the one Prowess has to run down, and with the weight advantage I give it to Prowess.

Race 9

Confidence: 2/5 

3.Lincoln King is peaking nicely for this. He ran the fastest last 200m last start hitting the line hard- just what you want to see going into this tough 3200m race. He won the Wellington Cup over 3200m so you know he can stay the distance. RP $7, $10 FF

Dangers:

1.Ladies Man won his race well over 2200m and is peaking nicely for this.

13.Aquacade  won easily in good time last start and gets in on a winning weight.

About Neil Davis

Neil is New Zealand's leading form analyst with particular expertise in the area of horse racing sectional times. He has had a life time interest in racing. The Formpro website first started back in 2008 - 10 years ago!