Cambridge
Good morning. The selections below are free until next Wednesday for North Island meetings. I’ve had a good break so though I would have a couple of runs leading into the Foxbridge Plate so I will be ready to peak third up.
Enjoy the ride.
Some interesting races to day. There is a $60k R75 race that course specialist Monza looks well placed in. The big striding Yesterday’s Gone looks a good bet in the first. Felix Faure strikes the right race to upset them in the fourth. And the well bred Kriminal can keep the winning streak of Warren Kennedy going in the last.
Bet of the Day Race 5 2.Monza $7 FF
Value Bet of the day Race 4 7.Felix Faure $21 and $3.60 FF
Multi of the Day Race 1 3.Yesterday’s Gone $3.80 into Race 5 2.Monza $2.40 FF $10 returns $91 20
Suggested quaddie for $36 for 10% or $14.40 anchoring 2.Monza in the first leg for $14.40
R5 2, 4, 9
R6 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 7
R7 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9, 10, 11, 12
R8 3, 5
Race 1
Confidence:2/5
3.Yeserday’s Gone is a big striding horse who was a bit unlucky last start. He was coming with a strong run and lay in but the rider could not use the whip in his left hand and he couldn’t ride him out. This time, Kelsey Hannan (2kg allowance) gets on and she is a natural left hand whip rider. Before that start he led all the way here to win a trial over 1300m in good time. The 1550m will suit him even better and if Kelsey can bounce him out, he can be on pace or even lead, and this big powerful galloper can do it. Rated Price $3.00
Recommended bet: 2 units to win $3.80 FF
Race 2
Confidence:1/5
1.Drum Major has a few things in his favour. He is the likely uncontested leader, gets 3kgs off, back in class against a weak field and he has won fresh up (1200m Te Rapa ). But the negative is he hasn’t won over this distance or close to it. He ran 5th in a much stronger field in January last year over 1600m but hasn’t re-produced that since. But if he can lead and dictate terms, he could upset them. Early money ( $16 into $11) says he may be on the job. RP $8
Recommended bet: 1 unit each way 1.Drum Major $11 and $2.80 FF
Race 3
Confidence:2/5
5.Rozel put in a game performance second up, when she was caught 3 wide in the open, was a bit lost on the turn, but was coming hard again to take third with the best last 200m of 11.74. Now they don’t do that unless they have some ability! Plus she gets up over more ground now. The negative is she has drawn out but she has early speed so it will should be able to slot in somewhere and and be a chance. RP $3.50
Recommended bet: 2 units a win at $3.80 FF
Race 4
Confidence:2/5
7.Felix Faure could upset them here. He may be 9 but has good early speed and has been freshened up for it. He won both his starts here leading. It is a weak field and if he can lead, which I’m sure they will do, he can hang on. RP $12
Recommended bet: 1 unit each way. $21 and $3.60 FF
Race 5
Confidence: 3/5
2.Monza has an excellent strike rate here with 4 wins and one unlucky close second from 5 starts! He won this race last year with 57kg and with Maria Sanson riding gets 3kgs off and carries 57. He has been freshened up which is how he won last year. He maps to lead or trail and get every chance from there. He has the second fastest time round here and doesn’t win by much but has that will to win. Rates on top in the Formpro Ratings. $4.50 FF
Dangers:
4.Stoneybreck obvious danger with Opie up and form he is in. Will need the perfect ride though to beat Monza.
9.Slipper Island won easily last start n slow time but the track was slower then too. Extra ground should suit.
Recommended bet: 2.Monza 3 units to win at $7.00 FF
Race 6
Any one of 5 can win this. In order: 7-1-5-3-2-4
Race 7
It doesn’t get much easier here. It is a field job really but in order: 2-1-3-8-5 -7-11
Race 8
Confidence:2/5
7.Kriminal is out of 9 win mare Abidewithme and won the Group 2 Travis Stakes (2000m ) so he is bred to be good ( $100k purchase) . Had a third finishing hard over 1600m last campaign and made ground from last fresh up here. Warren Kennedy stays with him and strikes a weak field. Will get back but in the 8 horse field, should get his chance. RP $3.00
Dangers:
5.Shimmering should lead and if he gets a soft lead, he could be fit enough after the 46 day break to hold on. 4.5kgs will help too.
Recommended bet: If you aren’t alive in the quaddie then the above two in a quinella $4.40 FF is the bet. 1 unit
