Head To Heads Update 10.49
Quaddie below also
Race 3 Bea Roca $2 to beat Screamin Eagle. Bea Roca has beat SE 2 out of 3 times. Bea Roca maps to get back off a good pace and SE is a good chance of being caught wide and having a tough run. RP $1.70, $2.00 Yes
Suggested multi with Race 2 Wind Of Change Top 2 $2.20 $10 returns $44 No
Good morning. Good to see a few of you got that multi yesterday. Not as easy today but there seem some well placed bets. I’ll post an update by noon.
Suggested Te Rapa quaddie for $14 for 50%
R6 1
R7 4, 5, 6, 9
R8 4
R9 2, 3, 4, 9, 10, 12, 14
Bet of the Day Race 8 8.Dionysus $2.10 FF $2.40 Boosted
Value Bet of the Day Invercargill Race 7 3.Ears Back $5.00 FF
Multi of the Day with the two above. $10 returns $105 or $120 with Boosted Price Yes
Te Rapa
Race 1
Confidence:2/5
7.About Last Night won her race start easily and may get the lead or sit outside it. Won her trial easily and looks better left handed and cornered very well. If she leads on the rail she looks ready to win again. RP $2.50, $3.20 FF
Dangers:
3.Move To Strike 1st He has looked good at the trials and is a very good mover. Drawn 1 and should get a winning run from there. But he has taken a sit in his last two trials trying to teach him and he just got up in his Matamata trial left handed and the other two runners weren’t really pushed – so he is no $1.50 shot. RP $2.50, $1.50 FF
Race 2
Confidence:2/5
6.Wind Of Change won as expected on debut in a very good speed rating and excellent sectionals. And did it easily so has plenty of upside. She has drawn outside Pendragon and should land second outer, but depending on how he jumps, may take the lead. She should get a soft lead or sit 2nd outer as most of these runners are aiming for bigger things and won[‘t want a hard run, so if she kicks like we know she can, can kick on these and win. RP $5, $6.50 FF
Danger:
1.Tokyo Tycoon was ok in his trial but he saves his best for raceday. Will settle back in the small field and be the one Wind Of Change has to hold out. But with the sit sprint on, he could get beaten.
Race 3
Confidence:2/5 2nd $2.00
10.Bea Roca has won second up at her last two campaigns. She almost won fresh up and there shouold be a good pace up front which will give her the chance to get over them.
Race 4
Confidence:3/5 3rd $1.70
3.Romancing The Moon is a quality horse who ran home in the second fastest sectionals to Sacred Satano over 1100m in fast time last start. She is ideally placed here at the weights and the speed map says she should be able to tuck in around fifth and be in the right spot to win. RP $2.80 FF
Race 5
Confidence;2/5 1st $3.60
6.Academy Award went a very good second last start closing off in the second best sectionals for a fast closing 2nd over 1200m. She gets out to her winning distance from a good draw this time and Sam Spratt suits her. In a fairly open race she is the best placed. RP $4, $4.20 FF
Race 6
Confidence:3/5 1st $2.20
1.Campionessa is a very good mare and has won in in good times and been beaten by top class horses. Opie will give her every chance and level weights she should beat Pearl Of Alsace and the rest. $1.60, $2.20 FF
Race 7
Confidence:2/5 2nd $2.00
5.All Shook Up ran a good 4th last start left handed here last start and hung right handed the start before in WFA company. She can take up a good possie here and with Vinnie Colgan replacing the apprentice, that is in indication he is ready. RP $4.50, $6 FF
Race 8
Confidence:3/5 1st $2.50
8.Dionysus is peaking nicely for this. He won here a year ago over 2400m and in excellent time. He will do nothing in running and should be very hard to hold out at the weights. RP $1.60, $2.10 FF
Race 9
Confidence:2/5
12.Impressa has the best speed ratings here and is well placed at the weights and maps to get the right run. Drops back in class and is a good eachway chance. RP $5, $6 FF
Trentham
Race 2
Confidence:2/5 3rd
5.Tanzanite Rose won very well fresh up and did well when 3rd second up. This is easier and she gets a 3kg allowance. She maps to land about 4th and from there will be hard to beat. Any rain is ok. $3.20
I’ve gone through the rest of the fields and with the heavy rain forecast this afternoon, it makes it a real punters graveyard, so pass.
Invercargill
Race 7
The speed map shows
Confidence:3/5 1st $3.60 with a top ride.
3.Ears Back is very well placed here. He rates 4 lengths clear of this field and maps to get a winning run. He has been racing in group and Open handicaps and rating well. You can see why he has been backed in from a juicy $10 to $5 FF RP $3.00
