Welcome back! A good day of racing including the strong Foxbridge Plate. I’ve previewed all of the Riccarton races, Foxbridge Plate and the Te Rapa quaddie.
I’ll update the selections by noon.
Bet of the Day Riccarton Race 4 1.Diablo Franco $1.50 Odds Surge ( $1.70 when posted yesterday ) 1st $1.50
Value Bet of the Day Riccarton Race 7 3.Chairman $4 Odds Surge 4th and every chance.
Multi of the day with the two above $1.40 FF and $3.50 FF – $10 returns $49.50
Riccarton
The synthetic form is consistent so I have previewed the meeting below
Race 1
Confidence:2/5
5.Belluta maps to get the trail here on a moderate speed can be in the top 3. She should be stronger now and has a good rider on board. RP Top 3 $2.20, $2.50 $10 into $5.50 FF 1st
Race 2
Confidence:2/5
5.Angel Wings
She went a very good race for second last start in good time and a gap to third. Drawn to get out and trail and is a good eachway bet. $4, $5.50 Odds Surge
Race 3
Confidence:2/5
5.More Than Words ran home strongly last start and maps to get the trail here. She can run down the likely leader in La Bella Nera. $4, $5 Odds Surge. 2nd
Race 4
Confidence:4/5 1st $1.50
1.Diablo Blanco looked very good last campaign when running great sectionals against better horses than these. She resumed fresh up and she raced a bit keenly 2nd outer but that was because they were going so slowly. She soon showed her class in the straight to dominate the race. I’ve had a look at every horse in this and I can’t see her getting beaten here with an even beginning. She should land 4th or 5th and maybe closer and should be too good for these. Trained on the track and the trainer is confident of her handling the synthetic and of winning. RP $1.40, $1.70 Odds Surge
Race 5
For the quaddie it looks like any of three can win this. In order 1-4-3
Race 6
Confidence:2/5
4.June Bug 3rd $2
She had the blinkers go on last start and once she led, kept up a sustained gallop to bolt in. The time was smart and although up in class, is down in weight. She maps to lead again and with natural improvement fourth up, can lead and hold these out. RP $4.50 $7 Odds Surge
Dangers:
1.Turf War can also run time but is carrying a lot of pudding. Trialed an indicated she is ready to win.
2.Nortibutnice can run time and won a trial really well recently. 1st $4
Race 7
Confidence:3/5
The speed map shows a moderate pace suiting on pace runners
Race 7
Confidence:3/5 4th
3.Chairman won really well here earlier in 1.34.86 for the 1600m and looked good doing it. He has the best recent times here and should get the lead early or may hand up. Either way he will get an ideal run on a moderate pace. He has won his last two impressively. The only negative is he hasn’t raced for 28 days but the trainer is very pleased with him and he has residual race fitness under his belt. RP $3.00, $4.00 on Odds Surge
Race 8
A field job. In order 7-5-2-6-8
Suggested quaddie for $11.70 for 10%
Leg 1 (R5): 1, 3, 4
Leg 2 (R6): 1, 2, 4
Leg 3 (R7): 3
Leg 4 (R8): 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9, 10, 11, 12, 13
Randwick
Race 9 6.30 pm
Confidence:3/5
11.Commemorative 2nd $1.40 and didn’t hard enough for him
She is fresh up and showed an explosive turn of foot when winning both times fresh up in previous campaigns in excellent sections and race times. She is a 4yo now and she trialled recently at Warwick Farm and has matured into an impressive mare. She has a tendency to change leg often ( as she did in this trial) but I feel if she lands midfield or slightly behind it and angles in time in the straight, Zac will get her balanced up, and ask her for the extreme effort and then pounce on them. There looks to be an even speed over the 1100m which will suit nicely. RP $2.00, $3.10 FF
Te Rapa early preview ( posted 10.50 am ) Updates throughout the day until 5pm.
Race 8 Foxbridge Plate
The speed map shows a fast pace with the first 600m likely to be run in good time and setting it up for an off pace runner.
Confidence:2/5
4.Waitak 4th
As you can see from the speed map there is going to be at least an even speed to the turn, and it is more than likely going to favour off-pace runners and closers out wide. Waitak fits that bill nicely. I had a good look at his two most recent trials and he was never let go by Masa ( who is on raceday) and was running on strongly under his own steam. The trainers are very happy with him and he has an ideal action for a wet track. They will more than likely be getting off the rail to win by this time of day. He is a good eachway bet in a tough race. There are 3-4 mm of rain forecast early Saturday morning. He won the Railway at Pukekohe after coming from last on a wet Soft 6 track that was cutting out in the best sectionals of the day ( L600 in 32.61 and best speed rating by lengths. ) And he has won twice here and once fresh up here. RP $6, $8 FF You can wait until the track is showing a bias to back runners closing out wide or favouring on pace runners runners, but I think it will be favouring closers.
Danger:
5.Sacred Satono maps to go forward and he is a push button type of sprinter and if the inside is off, he can sit 3 wide with cover, that will be an ideal spot for him to strike. He has won both of his trials stylishly and is ready to win fresh up again. He has won here on a 1.13.4 heavy 8 track. RP $4, $3.80 FF
Te Rapa quaddie preview
It is a very open day with rain on the way according to the rain radar, but I have given my suggested quaddie.
Race 7
In order: 13-7-1-9-8
Race 9
In order: 5-3-8
Race 10
Field job
Suggested quaddie for 22.50 for 5%
Leg 1 (R7): 1, 7, 8, 9, 13
Leg 2 (R8): 4, 5
Leg 3 (R9): 3, 5, 8
Leg 4 (R10): 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9, 10, 11, 12, 13, 14, 15, 16
