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Saturday preview below

 

A good day for the Good Confidence bets. Mustang Valley became a bet when it got out to the very good odds of $4.20 FF

Charmrose 2.8 units missed with Cardiac arrhythmia

Myakabelle 3.2 units a win 12.48 returned

Mustang Valley 3.4 units a win 14.28 returned

Total Bet 9.4 units Returned 26.76 units 17.36 units profit

Update 11.45

Suggested Quaddie $10.80 for 10%

Tauranga

Leg 1 (R7): 1, 5, 7
Leg 2 (R8): 2, 4, 9
Leg 3 (R9): 2, 9, 12
Leg 4 (R10): 9, 11, 12, 13

There are showers and thunderstorms predicted for late morning and the afternoon at both venues. The two Good Confidence bets below won’t mind the rain.

No bets for Hawera with the rain forecast and they are big open fields heavily favouring the bookies.

Tauranga: Next update by noon.

Two Good Confidence Bets both worth backing today as other s maybe scratched. And there are Bonus Bets up to $50 back if they finish 2nd to 4th.

Update: Just the two good confidence bets below. Mustang Valley is rated at $2.50 and we can only get $2.60 so no bet.

Bet of the day Race 3 14.Myakkabelle $4 FF Good Confidence bet 3.2 units

Value bet of the day Race 2 Charmrose $4.00 now $3.80 FF Good Confidence bet 2.8 units a win

Race 2 

Confidence:3/5

6.Charmrose looks set to win after she was a very game second, second up in a good speed rating. She sat three wide and did very well. She draw then and has tactical speed to lead or be handy and be hard to beat from there. Ideal wet track action. $2.80, $4.00 FF  2.8 units Missed – had Cardiac Arrhythmia

Race 3

Confidence:3/5 

14.Myakkabelle is a good looking galloper that was beaten by the pace and track last start. She rattled home for second and has a better draw this time. She has a good action for a slow/heavy track and looks ready to win her first race. Also in the harder 5th race but is much better placed here. The favourite has a question mark over his action and wet track form. RP $2.40, $3.90 1st  3.2 units a win returned 12.48 units 

Race 6

Confidence:2/5

8.The Letter led up and just got beaten last start in a good race. She has won twice here and if the rain comes is a decent eachway chance at odds. RP $8, $13 FF

Race 7 

Confidence:3/5  Became a Good Confidence Bet when he got out to the terrific price of $4.20. 3.4 units a win returned 14.28 units

1.Mustang Valley is the best horse in this field by a decent margin. If the rain comes it will only enhance her chances. She won second up last campaign and she was given a good workout in her trial recently. The 60kgs is a concern but she should still be too good. $2.50, $2.60 FF

Race 9

Confidence:2/5

12.Brian Lamont was unlucky last start. He wouldn’t have won but would have been in the finish. Drawn better and handles a wet track. $5, $5.50 FF

Race 10

Confidence:2/5

13.Letsbringiton won in dominant fashion at Pukekohe right handed in a bog. She went a good race last start and is ready to win. If the expected rain arrives she breeding suggests she will be hard to beat. RP $5, $7.50 FF

 

 

Neil Davis

Neil is New Zealand's leading form analyst with particular expertise in the area of horse racing sectional times. He has had a life time interest in racing. The Formpro website first started back in 2008 - 10 years ago!

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