Otaki A good day with Maririri Molly winning easily returning 11.05 units. units spent for a net profit of 6.35 unit profit
Decent tracks and weather means we are in for some good racing.
Two Good Confidence bets below
Recommended multi with the two below to win.
Race 6
Confidence:3/5 Value Bet of the day 1st 3.50
6.Marotiri Milly won easily last start and when comparing her sectionals splits, they went out almost exactly the same as the stronger Fillies and Mares race to the 600m mark and she led. And only came home home 1/2 a length slower and she did it comfortably – a sign that she is going to win more races. She has drawn nicely with a couple with early speed and should be able to slot in the first 4 and be very hard to beat despite the weight increase. RP $3.80, $5.50 FF, $6.50 FF 7.7 units 1.4 units at $5.50FF and 1.7 units a win at $6.50 OS 11.05 units returned
Race 9
Confidence:3/5 Bet of the Day Missed
3.The Prophet is an impressive galloper who bolted in at Woodville. He was fresh up at Matamata and was things just didn’t go his way. The tempo was against him as they went 8 lengths slower than the other 1400m race and he is the type of horse that needs room to get rolling before the turn. He finished the race full of running. Drawn wide here but Craig Grylls will have plenty of time to slot in with cover somewhere. The inside tends to go off later in the day, so should favour him, so he should get his chance to bury them. He is better than R65 grade. RP $2.30, $3.00 FF $3.40 Odds Surge FF 2.8 units at $3 FF or 3 units at $3.40 Odds Surge
Ellerslie
Race 2
Confidence:2/5
1.Lanikai last start would have gone close to winning last start when bouncing well then was snagged and ended up further back than the rider wanted. She moved closer on the turn and was held up full of running and when clear late mage up good ground late. The negative is he has had a few chances. RP $3.60, $3.50 FF
Race 6
Confidence:2/5
6.Arby has been rating well in stronger fields and on track conditions not suitable for him. He rates clearly on top here and gets the distance and track conditions to suit. RP $4.50, $4.80 FF
Race 7
Confidence:2/5
10.My Annie Belle won very well fresh up. She is relaxing much better now and even in her recent trial she led up with her head down and finished 4th full of running. There is a lack of pace here so she may go forward and get a softish time on the pace and be too good for these. RP $4.20, $5 FF
Race 8
Confidence:2/5
4.Val Di Zoldo drops back in class with two very good runs under her belt. She should be very hard to beat. The only negative is she may be looking for more ground now. RP $3.50, $3.60 FF
Race 9
Confidence:2/5 1st
9.Imperial Princess has looked better than this class in most of her starts. She flew last start and needs a decent track. RP $3.60, $3.90 FF
