Boxing Day preview

Boxing day preview Snazzytavi won well but a poor day for the selections, I have one for Sunday that should win too.

Bet of the day Ellerslie Race 9 8.Snazzytavi $1.75 FF 1st $1.90 

Value bet of the Day Ellerslie Race 6 2.Tikemyson $6.50 and $2.50 FF 4th

Multi of the Day $10 returns $135.60

Ellerslie

Race 2

Confidence:2/5 1st $6 

8.Remala has won both of her trials showing early speed and good galloping style to win. Drawn wide and will need luck but if she gets it, can win. She has early speed so it may depend on how she jumps. RP $4, $4.80 FF

Race 3

Confidence:2/5 2nd

12.Irish Legacy won easily fresh up and is going to win more races. Drawn well to get a trip midfield and with a decent pace predicted should get the gaps in time to charge through and win again. RP $$3, $3 FF

Race 4

Confidence:2/5

7.Dazzled built to a win nicely last start and if she gets a decent run from that wide draw, she has the turn of foot to repeat the dose. $5, $6.50 FF

Race 6

Confidence:3/5 4th

2.Tikemyson is horse with a real will to win. Last start he showed that when he challenged at the 200m mark and it looked as though Free Spirit had it won but he showed that will to win again and came back hard to just get up. He relaxes well and has run time. Has an ideal draw and Grylls should be able to give him a good run, then put him in the race near the turn and be very hard to keep out. Should be no problem this way round.  RP $3.50, $6.50 FF and $2.50 FF

Race 9

Confidence:4/5 1st $1.90 

8.Snazzytavi is just a winning machine. She was dominant in the Livamol and then off a slow pace last start won easily without being touched with the whip. She steps to her ideal distance, from an ideal draw, is in very well at WFA and only pilot error will get her beaten. RP $1.30, $1.75 FF

Otaki

Race 2

Confidence:3/5 4th had his chance

5.The Prophet was a dominant winner last start in a very good time and did it easily. I thought he might just need that run over ground but trainer Cody Cole had him spot on. He jumps in class here but is down in weight, It is not a strong field and he should get a winning run from Sam Collett. The forecast rain should be ok. RP $2.30. $3.30 and $3.80 Odds Surge

Race 5

Confidence:2/5 Close 4th 

4.Gohugo only ran 6th last start but worked very hard to lead at the 600m mark and was only swamped late. He set up a very good time. Drawn out here and is back to 1200m. So he is likely to snag and with a good pace likely, is an upset chance. RP $8, $13 FF, $16 OS

Race 6

Confidence:2/5 4th 

2.He’s A Doozy ran a good fifth in a stronger field last start. He was held up at a crucial stage and when out battled on well against good horses. He gets 3kgs off here and strikes a weaker field. He should be a good eachway bet. RP $4, $4.50, $5.50 Odds Surge.

Race 8

Confidence:2/5

5.Danjuro has been finding the line strongly in nearly all of his runs. He will relish the step to 2300m and won’t mind any rain. Good eachway chance. RP $5, $6.50, $8 FF