Ellerslie preview below ( No Australian bets )
Bet of the Day Race 8 1.Lollapalooza $2.60, $2.90 Odds Surge 2nd $1.40
Value bet of the day Race 6 10.Social Climber $8, $9.50 FF
Multi of the day Race 3 1. Churmatt $2 FF and Race 8 1Lollapalooza $2.60 FF $10 returns $52 1st and 2nd
Ellerslie
Race 1
Confidence:2/5
14.Pieces of Eight ran a good race on debut after trailing very well. Then was given a break to mature and she looked good winning her trial at Avondale leading all the the way and winning easily. She has early speed and is a nice looking galloper. RP $5, $8 FF
Race 2
Confidence:2/5 1st $6.50
14.Well Written is an interesting runner. She has a couple of trials and in her last trial here she ran an official 49.00 for the 800m, the 7th fastest heat. I timed her heat as 48.89 and she ran the fastest heat time and ran the fourth fastest last 600 all day in 34.49. (The first three heats were over a different course) She has drawn wide but she settled well in behind the pace in her trial and came through very strongly so if she can secure a run 3 wide with cover, she can win. RP $4.50. $7.00 FF, $8,50 Odds Surge
Race 3
Confidence:3/5 1st $1.95
1.Churmatt won easily on debut and then ran a strong second at Whanganui in a stronger field with a gap to third. Drawn to get all favours with Opie on so should get every chance and the 1400m suits well. RP $1.80, $2 FF, $2.20 Odds Surge
Race 4
Confidence:2/5
1.Drop Of Something just went under to Bosch last start giving him 4kgs. This time, he meets him 3kgs better off and should swing things his way from the good draw. he always tries his best and looks well placed. RP $3.50, $3.80 FF, $4.40 Odds Surge
Race 5
Confidence:2/5 1st $4
9.Santa Catalina got back here last start from the wide draw and ran the second fastest last 200m. She has drawn better here and she should be able to settle closer and be a good eachway chance from there. RP $4.50, $5.50 FF, $6.50 Odds Surge
Race 6
Confidence:2/5
10.Social Climber settled in the rear from the wide draw, but once she saw clear air 200m out, she flew home in the best closing sectionals. Given a decent draw, she must have gone close to winning. The speed map shows good pace so from the draw, she should settle midfield, and get her chance to win over 1300m. RP $5, $8, $9.50 Odds Surge
Race 7
Confidence:2/5
7.Chante Moi won fresh up last campaign in an R75 race, very well, coming from the rear with a charging run. She had no trials runs then and she has none now. She rates on top in the Formpro Ratings and with plenty of speed on here she can come with the last run again. RP $8, $13 FF, $15 Odds Surge
Race 8
Confidence:3/5 2nd
1.Lollapalooza put in an amazing finish last start here over 1200m to win. She ran the best last 200m in the whole day to do it and was easing down at the end. That indicates she will relish the 1400m and she should be near peak form being third up. She maps to get back again but with a good pace up front likely, she will be very hard to beat. RP $1.90, $2.60, $2.90 Odds Surge
Race 9
Confidence:2/5
7.Captured By Love is a very good mare and has won her two trials to get ready for this. Drawn to get a good run and rates on top in the Formpro Ratings. RP $3.20. $3.40, $3.80 OS
Race 10
Confidence:2/5 2nd
9.War Of Succession won strongly here over 1600m last campaign and wasn’t touched in his trial here when midfield all the way. Opie jumps on, the money has come for him and he does look well placed. RP $4.50, $4.80 FF
