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Saturday preview

 

Good morning,

A good day of racing with a few good bets.

Bet of the day Race 5 1.Qali Al Farrasha $1.80 FF, $1.95 Odds Surge

Value bet of the day Race 8 10.Sassy Lass $8, $9.50 Odds Surge

Te Rapa 

Race 1 

Confidence:3/5

3.To Cap It All went a terrific race last week when in the 1×1, Led 400m out and was run down late over 1400m. She is a tough filly and back to 1200m from a good draw, she looks a decent chance to down La Dorada where there is a question mark over her coming back as 3yo from a wide draw. RP $2.20 FF, $3.30 and $3.80 Odds Surge

Race 2

Confidence:3/5 1st $4.60 tote

6.Dashing Dixie was very impressive at the trials when she just went down in by far the best time of the heats and is a very smart filly. She has drawn 1 and may lead. stack them and outsprint them. RP $2.50, $3.60, $4.20 Odds Surge

Race 3

Confidence:2/5

10.Alaskan is a very nice staying filly who went an improver’s race fresh up 1600 in a strong field with good form out of it. She looks stronger now and looks a good eachway bet. RP $6, $8, $9.50 Odds Surge

Race 4

Confidence:2/5

12.Lyin’ Eyes won very well last start beating a smart one in Navy Ensign and he should win at Tauranga today. Drawn 1 and has the early speed to take advantage of it and she can go back to back. RP $4, $5.50 FF and $6.50 Odds Surge

Race 5

Confidence:3/5

1.Qali Al Farrasha won strongly in excellent time last start and is well placed at the weights. She should get every chance to put these away. $1.60, $1.80 FF

Race 6

Confidence:2/5

17.Smart Love is a very smart horse who has won her last 4 races, including a win here in very good time. She has drawn to get every chance and looks the one they all have to hold out at the weights.  RP $3.50 $3.70, $4.20 Odds Surge

Race 7

Confidence:2/5

5.Tristar has won three times fresh up and she looks set to do it again. There is plenty of speed in this and should allow her to bide her time and she has a very quick action and sprint, and can use that to good effect to hopefully win here. RP $4.50, $8 FF, $9.50 Odds Surge

Race 8

Confidence:2/5

10.Sassy Lass was just beaten in this race last year and is a decent chance of going one better. She ran on nicely last start. giving the indication that 2400m is what she needs. Drawn 1 and should get a winning run and be hard to beat. RP $4.50, $8, $9.50 FF

Race 9

Confidence:3/5 1st $2.30 

3.She’s A Dealer won easily last start and looks a real race horse. Drawn well and gets 3kgs off and has the tactical speed to race handy and be very hard to beat. RP $2, $2.30 FF, $2.50 Odds Surge

Southland

Race 2

Confidence:3/5 Bonus Back race 

1.Perfect Tycoon looks very well placed here for his maiden win. He has been racing very well and been given a freshener. he is better than a maiden runner and should get every chance from the good draw. RP $1.80, $3 FF

Neil Davis

Neil is New Zealand's leading form analyst with particular expertise in the area of horse racing sectional times. He has had a life time interest in racing. The Formpro website first started back in 2008 - 10 years ago!

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