Four winners from 9 races and the value bet went a great race for second
A good day of racing with Confesara and Casino looking well placed to win and look a good multi early in the day.
Bet of the day Te Rapa Race 1 Confesara $2.20 FF, $2.50 Odds Surge 1st $2.20
Value bet of the day Race 4 12.Sadhbh $15 Ff, $18 Odds Surge 2nd $4
Te Rapa
Race 1
Confidence:3/5 1st $2.20
5.Confesara is the obvious one here. She comes out of a very strong form race in a above average speed rating, is third up and peaking, drawn well and has a good rider on top. Ticks all the boxes and should win. RP $1.80, 2.20 FF, $2.50 Odds Surge up to $100
Race 3
Confidence:2/5 1st $4,50
11.Roctave looked good last campaign and looked as though he would be even better this campaign. He has run two good races over 1600 and is stepping up to a middle distance. He needs to win to get in the Dunstan Feeds final and Rory Hutchings has got off Principled in this to ride him for Stephen Marsh and the early money has come for him. RP $4, $4.40 FF, $5.50 Odds Surge
Race 4
Confidence:2/5 2nd $4
12.Sadhbh won well here over 1600 3 starts back and then last start, despite what the formline says, Stld Bk OTR, Up 3WNC Tn, Bltd, She was caught 3 wide all the way in the open, was wide and back on the turn, and came home well in the last 200 running the second best last 200m for 8th. Pam Gerard is confident of a good run and she has a decent weight advantage over these. RP $7, $15 FF, $18 Odds Surge
Race 6
Confidence:3/5 2nd 1.70
15.Ohope Wins was late clear off a moderate pace and did well to get 5th in an excellent last 200m. She has a motor and looks well placed in this average maiden field and is the one to beat from the good draw. RP $2.50, $4.50, $5.50 Odds Surge
Race 7
Confidence:2/5 1st $8
5.Basel Warrior despite what the formline says, Slow Bk OTF, Up Clsr Wd, Bltd 4.00L, he was very unlucky. He got back then looked to be putting in a winning run 150m out along the fence, but was blocked in his tracks and got going again late. Fitter now and he is a good eachway bet. RP $4.50 FF, $8, $9.50 Odds Surge
Trentham
Race 1
Confidence:2/5 Bonus Back race 2nd
4.Zorero soon led on debut and kicked aay for a strong win in a good speed rating. Craig Grylls snaps up the ride and he should lead or sit outside it, and be hard to beat from there. RP $2.80, $3 FF
Race 2
Confidence:3/5 Bonus Back race Missed
7.Casino last start, she settled behind midfield and they didn’t go hard, but once she was out and balanced, hit the line strongly for fifth in very good sectionals. 1400m looks ideal for her now and maps to get every chance. Nice galloper. RO $2.50, $3.40 FF
Race 5
Confidence:2/5 1st $5
9.Island Life last start she jumped well then slowly got shuffled back to the rear. Once in the straight she came home nicely for sixth in the best last 200 metres. Fitter now and Grylls hops back on. RP $4, $5 FF
Race 7
Confidence:3/5 Missed
13.Atmospheric has been slow away and it has cost him the win but he has run some very good sectionals to finish where he did! This is 2300m, and Sagunto will likely set a good pace and make it a true staying test. Even he gets away slowly again, he will have time to make up the ground and has a significant weight advantage over his main rivals. RP $3, $4.40FF
