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Wednesday preview

A good day with 3 winners on top from 7 races. Geneva Queen $7 was a nice return.

Roccadonna let us down with a typical 4kg apprentice claimers ride 

Matamata

The track has come back to a Soft 7

Three good bets here detailed below.

Bets of the day Race 1 3.Coniston $1.50 1st $1.50 and Race 7 4.Typhoon Lucy $2 1st $2 

Value bet of the day Race 6 4.Roccadonna $4.80 FF

Recommended Multi Coniston to win, Roccadonna Top 3 5th and let us down  and Typhoon Lucy to win, $10 returns $61.50 Missed 

Race 1

Confidence:3/5 Bonus Back race

3.Coniston 1st $1.50 was impressive at the trials with three win then on debut, drew wide got back to last, and finished off strongly and ran the best closing sectionals for 7th. The form out of that race has been very good. He steps to 1400m here which will suit and drawn better and the smaller field will help. McNab rides and should be very hard to hold out. RP $1.30, $1.55 FF

Race 2

Confidence:3/5 Bonus Back race

6.Djibouti 3rd  fresh up over 1600m got well back on the inner and then weaved her way through, then balanced up and changed legs, and hit the line well for third in the best closing sectionals. Craig Grylls has kept the mount and she can settle handier with the blinkers on. Strikes a weak field. RP $2, $2.35 FF

Danger:

13.Seduire 1st $12 came home in the second quickest last 600 last start at her first go over ground. She ran around a bit too and will appreciate going left handed and she also has the blinkers going on at the right time. $5, $9 FF

Race 3

Confidence:2/5

2.Geneva Queen  1st $7 ran a game second on debut and looked stronger when trialing for third at a recent trial. She can bounce fast too if asked. RP $3.00, $4 FF

Danger:

6.Zaharias looked ready to fire up at her recent trial. $2.10 is a bit short though.

Race 4

1.Track Tester showed natural speed when leading all the way at Te Rapa. Drawn to lead or land 2nd outer, and is an upset chance from there. RP $4.50, $7.50 FF

Danger:

2.Places To Be 1st $2.20 drawn 6 but if he can get a good run, is the one to beat.

Race 5

11.Dicko’s Dance won his trial very well leading all the way, then was ridden in behind and finished 5th full of running. Craig Grylls sticks with him and drawn well. RP $5, $5.50 FF

Race 6

Confidence:3/5

4.Roccadonna is a nice looking mare. She ran a very good third at Tauranga last start and ran the best closing sectionals. She trialed very well finishing hard to win. Drawn 1 and gets 4kgs off with Simon riding who rode her in her trial. A Pearl Bonus race which she qualifies for. $3.20, $4.80 FF

Race 7 

Confidence:3/5

4.Typhoon Lucy 1st $2  won here when she jumped well from the wide draw, was taken back and relaxed well, weaved her way through and won very well in a good speed rating. has had 2 trials back and looked ready to win fresh up when 3rd full of running. Drawn well and will get a good trip and be very hard to beat against these. RP $1.60, $2.00 FF

 

 

Neil Davis

Neil is New Zealand's leading form analyst with particular expertise in the area of horse racing sectional times. He has had a life time interest in racing. The Formpro website first started back in 2008 - 10 years ago!

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