Te Aroha
Good morning,
Just a low key meeting with one big highlight, No good confidence bets. I’ll have the early Saturday preview up by 5 pm.
Neil
Bet of the day Race 1 5.Taika $3 FF 1st $2
Value bet of the day Race 7 4.On Shaw $5.50 FF 5th after a tough run
Race 1
Confidence:2/5 Bonus back Race
5.Taika 1st $2seems the obvious one here. He ran a very good second here beat many of these and will be improved by that, He won a $150k hurdle race here on this day last year. $2.60, $3 FF
Race 2 Bonus Back Race
1.Billy 3rd has performed really well in harder fields and is well placed here to get a well deserved win. RP $3.00, $3.80 FF
Race 3
Confidence:2/5
3.Quid 1st $7 ran a game second at Riccarton over 4200m, today’s distance. With the rain around he will relish the going and be hard to beat. $3.50, $4.50 FF
Race 4
Confidence:1/5
6.Middle Khan ran a strong 3rd here last start and should be peaking now. RP $6, $11
Dangers:
7.Quill rates best on a heavy track and drops in class.
3.Raajoices will appreciate the drop in class and loves the mud.
Race 5
Confidence:2/5
8.Queen Sansa ran a very good third last start in stronger company. Strikes a weak field here. RP $3.50, $3.50 FF
Dangers:
3.Foo Foo was 2nd in an R60 race fresh up and battled on second up. In with a realistic chance.
5.Reggae Man went a good race on debut and the form out of it is ok.
Race 6
Confidence:1/5
6.Time After Time looks set to win a strong efforts over shorter ground but you never know with Myers!
Dangers:
1.Escape Room ran a very good 3rd two starts back and didn’t see the distance out last start. Back in distance suits.
3.Colgate has been going good races in better fields and has a chance.
Race 7
Confidence:2/5
4.On Shaw won very well fresh up at Whanganui in a very good speed rating. He ran a good fighting 4th at Riccarton is a stronger field than this and didn’t back up 7 days later. Freshened up for this and the early money has come for him. RP $4, $5.50 FF
Dangers:
3.Malleable didn’t stay the 2000m last start but was in great form before that. Can bounce back here.
