Avondale
Race 1
Confidence:2/5 Bonus Back race. Value bet of the Day 4th and had her chance and ran on well.
9.Chataya has run three good races this campaign and last start was held up till 250m out and ran home strongly for fourth, and fifth was Crafty Colin, who had every chance and won on Saturday. She goes well this way round and Matt Cameron will suit her. A bog will suit her more than most. RP $3.70, $5 FF
Race 2
Confidence:3/5 Bonus Back Race and bet of the day 4th after blowing start and getting caught 3 wide in the open. Shame there wasn’t a Head to Head bet with State of Valour as it ran last.
1.Rupeni looked good at the trials when he was out well, eased to the trail, was held up so hooked wider 150m out and finished strongly relishing his work on the wet track. He has a good wet track action and from the wide draw, will likely drop back and come with the last run at them. His sectionals at the trials compared to State Of Valour were superior and so was the heat time. RP $2.20, $2.70 FF
Race 8
Confidence: 2/5
15.Barcelona has the equal best Formpro Rating on a wet track and gets in on a light weight with Ashlee Strawbridge on board. She has been freshened up and goes well that way. The map says there is not a lot of pace in this so from her good draw, if she can get away and settle midfield, she is a decent chance of upsetting this average field. RP $7, $12 FF
